Episode
Mystics and Statistics - Why is prediction hard?
- Podcast
- The Collators
- Published
- Nov 26, 2025
- Duration seconds
- 3437
- Processing state
not_requested- Canonical source
- https://thecollators.com/s1e13
- Audio
- https://traffic.libsyn.com/secure/2e8c179d-6d2c-4b0b-a52f-0ba80b14fdac/20250912.mp3?dest-id=5118630
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Summary
In this episode, Mark and Howard explore why forecasting is so often wrong and what prediction really requires. From homicides to the stock market, prediction sounds simple until the future fights back. Statistics and logic can take you far, but judgement, context, and humility do the rest.