Episode
Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials
- Podcast
- Horns of a Dilemma
- Published
- Sep 23, 2025
- Duration seconds
- 2251
- Processing state
not_requested
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Summary
Dr. Jeffrey Friedman, an associate professor at Dartmouth College, reveals striking findings that seasoned national security professionals often misjudge uncertainty. This overview of his latest TNSR article, "The World Is More Uncertain Than You Think: Assessing and Combating Overconfidence Among 2,000 National Security Officials," covers how minor training can improve decision-making accuracy and highlights the importance of structured feedback and better calibration in national security judgments.