Episode
Seems Like a Bad Idea
- Podcast
- Cheap Talk
- Published
- Apr 2, 2026
- Duration seconds
- 3355
- Processing state
not_requested- Canonical source
- https://www.jkaplow.net/cheaptalk/2026/4/2/seems-like-a-bad-idea
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Summary
How Russia benefits from the Iran war; President Trump’s recent statements about how the war is going; China is both helped by and hurt by the Iran war; prediction markets as an aggregation mechanism for the wisdom of crowds; insider trading and insider influence; the characteristics of wise crowds; and Marcus will never make that mistake again The opinions expressed on this podcast are solely our own and do not reflect the policies or positions of William & Mary. Please subscribe to Cheap Talk on Apple Podcasts , Spotify , or your podcast player of choice to be notified when new episodes are posted. Check out our online store at https://cheaptalk.shop . Further Reading: Will Oremus and Jeremy B. Merrill. 2026. “A journalist reported a missile strike. Then came the death threats.” Washington Post. See all Cheap Talk episodes