{"podcast":{"title":"Cheap Talk","slug":"cheap-talk-6049769","podcast_index_feed_id":6049769,"rss_url":"https://www.jkaplow.net/cheaptalk?format=rss","website_url":"https://www.jkaplow.net/cheaptalk/","image_url":"https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/51c381dde4b0c32cc8284816/1676858752048-A2JOOXZO72JIQV2O7183/cheaptalklogo1.png?format=1500w","author":"Jeff Kaplow","episode_count":128,"summary":"Cheap Talk is an every-week-or-so international relations podcast with Jeff Kaplow and Marcus Holmes, professors of government at William & Mary.","last_synced_at":"2026-09-06T14:21:26.391782+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/cheap-talk-6049769"},"episode":{"title":"Seems Like a Bad Idea","slug":"seems-like-a-bad-idea","published_at":"2026-04-02T22:01:51+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/cheap-talk-6049769/seems-like-a-bad-idea","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/cheap-talk-6049769","url":"https://www.jkaplow.net/cheaptalk/2026/4/2/seems-like-a-bad-idea","audio_url":"https://static1.squarespace.com/static/51c381dde4b0c32cc8284816/t/69cee699d660e114a86331a9/1775167159191/CheapTalkS6E22+-+Prediction+Markets.mp3","summary":"How Russia benefits from the Iran war; President Trump’s recent statements about how the war is going; China is both helped by and hurt by the Iran war; prediction markets as an aggregation mechanism for the wisdom of crowds; insider trading and insider influence; the characteristics of wise crowds; and Marcus will never make that mistake again The opinions expressed on this podcast are solely our own and do not reflect the policies or positions of William & Mary. Please subscribe to Cheap Talk on Apple Podcasts , Spotify , or your podcast player of choice to be notified when new episodes are posted. Check out our online store at https://cheaptalk.shop . Further Reading: Will Oremus and Jeremy B. Merrill. 2026. “A journalist reported a missile strike. Then came the death threats.” Washington Post. See all Cheap Talk episodes","meta_description":"How Russia benefits from the Iran war; President Trump’s recent statements about how the war is going; China is both helped by and hurt by the Iran war; p…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":3355,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/cheap-talk-6049769/episodes/seems-like-a-bad-idea/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/cheap-talk-6049769/seems-like-a-bad-idea.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}