Episode
Probability 3: Conditional Probability — The Updated Mind
- Podcast
- Reasonable Hope (Philosophy)
- Published
- Jul 8, 2026
- Duration seconds
- 158
- Processing state
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- https://rss.com/podcasts/reasonable-hope-philosophy/2966375
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Summary
Healthy thinking requires updating our beliefs when new evidence appears. Using conditional probability and Bayes’ Theorem, Brian explores the importance of intellectual humility and asks whether old assumptions about ourselves, others, or God are preventing us from recognizing new grace.