Episode
"Twenty Years from RSI to Takeoff: Slow Learning, Scaling Slowdown, Industrial Explosion" by Vladimir_Nesov
- Published
- Aug 26, 2026
- Duration seconds
- 433
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Summary
Industrial explosion is what will make the next-model building loops (and thus learning) with LLMs 1000 times faster by about 2050, if indeed the slow-learning prosaic RSI becomes AGI before the big compute buildout slowdown of 2032+ that is already starting. This puts an upper bound on how long it takes to invent ASI that sets off software-only singularity, implementing efficient online learning and fixing all the other hobblings of the likely near-future AGI technology (LLMs/pretraining/RL...