# "Twenty Years from RSI to Takeoff: Slow Learning, Scaling Slowdown, Industrial Explosion" by Vladimir_Nesov

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/lesswrong-curated-popular-5643401/twenty-years-from-rsi-to-takeoff-slow-learning-scaling-slowdown-industrial-explosion-by-vladimir-nesov
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/lesswrong-curated-popular-5643401/twenty-years-from-rsi-to-takeoff-slow-learning-scaling-slowdown-industrial-explosion-by-vladimir-nesov.md
Podcast: [LessWrong (Curated & Popular)](https://stenobird.com/podcast/lesswrong-curated-popular-5643401)
Published: 2026-08-26T16:16:05+00:00
Episode link: https://www.buzzsprout.com/2037297/episodes/19706505-twenty-years-from-rsi-to-takeoff-slow-learning-scaling-slowdown-industrial-explosion-by-vladimir_nesov.mp3
Audio file: https://www.buzzsprout.com/2037297/episodes/19706505-twenty-years-from-rsi-to-takeoff-slow-learning-scaling-slowdown-industrial-explosion-by-vladimir_nesov.mp3
Processing state: not_requested
JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/lesswrong-curated-popular-5643401/episodes/twenty-years-from-rsi-to-takeoff-slow-learning-scaling-slowdown-industrial-explosion-by-vladimir-nesov
Duration seconds: 433

## Resource

Industrial explosion is what will make the next-model building loops (and thus learning) with LLMs 1000 times faster by about 2050, if indeed the slow-learning prosaic RSI becomes AGI before the big compute buildout slowdown of 2032+ that is already starting. This puts an upper bound on how long it takes to invent ASI that sets off software-only singularity, implementing efficient online learning and fixing all the other hobblings of the likely near-future AGI technology (LLMs/pretraining/RL...

## Actions

- request_transcript: `POST https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/lesswrong-curated-popular-5643401/episodes/twenty-years-from-rsi-to-takeoff-slow-learning-scaling-slowdown-industrial-explosion-by-vladimir-nesov/transcription-requests` — Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode.
- read_markdown: `GET https://stenobird.com/podcast/lesswrong-curated-popular-5643401/twenty-years-from-rsi-to-takeoff-slow-learning-scaling-slowdown-industrial-explosion-by-vladimir-nesov.md` — Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource.

A page view does not enqueue transcription. Agents should invoke `request_transcript` explicitly when they need this episode processed.

## Transcript

Full transcripts are not published on public pages unless there is a clear rights basis.