Episode
Steve Kuhn on NBA Finals and Probability Cup
- Podcast
- House of Strauss
- Published
- Jun 11, 2026
- Duration seconds
- 3107
- Processing state
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Summary
We’re podcasting per the launch of the World Cup-tracking Probability Cup , but of course, just had to talk about Wednesday night’s NBA Finals classic. The BIG question on my mind: Should predictors/gamblers price in the NBA’s massive incentive to make this great series continue? Topics! * Knicks–Spurs Finals comeback analysis and whether San Antonio collapsed or New York surged. * How teams should manage volatility differently when protecting large leads versus playing from behind. * Debate over NBA referee incentives, league interests, and the possibility of series-extension bias. * SportsPredict’s World Cup Probability Cup and using prediction contests to identify analytical talent. * Whether modern hiring should adopt a “Moneyball” approach by measuring forecasting skill instead of relying on traditional credentials. * Is the big money in studying idiot sports predictors or geniuses? Again, join our Probability Cup contest and perhaps win an iPad Pro ($1,000 value) or $200 Ticketmaster gift card. Accept the challenge and learn more at sportspredict.com/probabilitycup . House of Strauss is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.houseofstrauss.com/subscribe