{"podcast":{"title":"House of Strauss","slug":"house-of-strauss-705694","podcast_index_feed_id":705694,"rss_url":"https://feeds.simplecast.com/Sg54N9J0","website_url":"https://www.houseofstrauss.com/podcast","image_url":"https://substackcdn.com/feed/podcast/446127/30bd2dc3d4f01a1e2971007d7d309758.jpg","author":"Ethan Strauss","episode_count":337,"summary":"Sports, Business, Politics, Culture","last_synced_at":"2026-07-18T20:19:53.539028+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/house-of-strauss-705694"},"episode":{"title":"Steve Kuhn on NBA Finals and Probability Cup","slug":"steve-kuhn-on-nba-finals-and-probability-cup","published_at":"2026-06-11T19:53:34+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/house-of-strauss-705694/steve-kuhn-on-nba-finals-and-probability-cup","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/house-of-strauss-705694","url":"https://www.houseofstrauss.com/p/steve-kuhn-on-nba-finals-and-probability","audio_url":"https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/201649051/432181de04781474e927ad7688f97510.mp3","summary":"We’re podcasting per the launch of the World Cup-tracking Probability Cup , but of course, just had to talk about Wednesday night’s NBA Finals classic. The BIG question on my mind: Should predictors/gamblers price in the NBA’s massive incentive to make this great series continue? Topics! * Knicks–Spurs Finals comeback analysis and whether San Antonio collapsed or New York surged. * How teams should manage volatility differently when protecting large leads versus playing from behind. * Debate over NBA referee incentives, league interests, and the possibility of series-extension bias. * SportsPredict’s World Cup Probability Cup and using prediction contests to identify analytical talent. * Whether modern hiring should adopt a “Moneyball” approach by measuring forecasting skill instead of relying on traditional credentials. * Is the big money in studying idiot sports predictors or geniuses? Again, join our Probability Cup contest and perhaps win an iPad Pro ($1,000 value) or $200 Ticketmaster gift card. Accept the challenge and learn more at sportspredict.com/probabilitycup . House of Strauss is a reader-supported publication. To receive new posts and support my work, consider becoming a free or paid subscriber. This is a public episode. If you'd like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit www.houseofstrauss.com/subscribe","meta_description":"We’re podcasting per the launch of the World Cup-tracking Probability Cup , but of course, just had to talk about Wednesday night’s NBA Finals classic. Th…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":3107,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/house-of-strauss-705694/episodes/steve-kuhn-on-nba-finals-and-probability-cup/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/house-of-strauss-705694/steve-kuhn-on-nba-finals-and-probability-cup.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}