Episode

The Three-Headed Deflation Monster: Tariffs, AI, and Robotics

Podcast
The Pomp Letter
Published
Feb 2, 2026
Duration seconds
342
Processing state
not_requested
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https://pomp.substack.com/p/the-three-headed-deflation-monster
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Markdown
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Summary

Today’s Letter is brought to you by Arch Public ! Unlock unparalleled returns with Arch Public’s algorithmic trading tools. Our Bitcoin Algorithm Arbitrage Strategy has delivered an astounding 247% annual return over the past three years. The entries, and exits speak for themselves; precision that drives success. Trusted by more than 15,000 customers and industry leaders, we’ve partnered with Gemini, Kraken, Coinbase and Robinhood to bring you cutting-edge solutions. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting, our proven strategies maximize your potential. Join the ranks of those who trust Arch Public to navigate the markets with confidence. Talk to us today and discover why our expertise sets us apart. To investors, There is a national crisis unfolding in the US economy, but it isn’t the type of crisis you got used to over the last few years. Rather than the persistent risk of high inflation driven by out of control government spending, the economy is being swallowed by an expansive deflationary force. This new risk is dangerous because it requires humans to update their mental models to be able to identify, understand, and mitigate it. And we know humans are horrible about changing their mind, especially when it requires them to synthesize new information. First, let’s discuss where the challenges lie in identifying this deflation risk. There is a past experience issue and a modern data error that is driving the problem. The past experience issue is that an entire generation finally capitulated in recent years after realizing that undisciplined government spending led to higher levels of inflation. These folks failed to see the cause and effect coming out of the global financial crisis and they only took the lesson to heart after the pandemic era insanity th…