Episode
How the Fed Is Reading the May CPI Spike
- Published
- Jun 14, 2026
- Duration seconds
- 360
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Summary
In episode 51 of The Federal Reserve Podcast, Lucas and Luna break down what the Fed actually focuses on in the May CPI report — not the headline 4.2% number making the news, but the shift in core services ex-housing and the unexpected jump in used car prices. They connect the inflation data to the Fed's neutral rate debate, the ECB's rate hike, and the 10-year breakeven inflation rate ticking up to 2.31%. Lucas explains why this CPI print complicates the Fed's path to cutting rates, while Luna pushes back on whether one month of data should change the outlook. A focused conversation on what the Fed's models are picking up right now. #FederalReserve #CPI #Inflation #MayCPI #CoreServices #UsedCars #NeutralRate #ECB #MonetaryPolicy #FOMC #BreakevenInflation #InterestRates #Economics #Macro #Podcast #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #FedWatch Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo