Episode
The Summer Demand Shift Nobody Talked About
- Published
- Jul 12, 2026
- Duration seconds
- 471
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Summary
Lucas and Luna unpack a surprising pattern in the July 2026 economy: consumer spending keeps rising even as sentiment sours and jobs growth slows to just 57,000. They trace the divergence to a structural change in how Americans spend their summers — a shift from big-ticket goods to experiences and services, fueled by a record-high services share of PCE. With the Fed stuck at 3.63 percent and inflation stickier than expected, Lucas argues this 'summer-ification' of demand is making the central bank's job harder. The hosts also discuss what the yield curve steepening (the 2-year at 3.69 percent, the 10-year at 4.57 percent) tells us about market expectations for a second-half slowdown. A concrete, data-driven look at an overlooked trend. #ConsumerSpending #ServicesInflation #SummerEconomy #FedPolicy #YieldCurveSteepening #July2026 #CorePCE #EconomicOutlook #GDPGrowth #ConsumerSentiment #ExperienceEconomy #Funflation #TwoTrackEconomy #LaborMarket #InterestRates #Business #Economics #FexingoBusiness Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo