Episode
What I Bet - Wednesday July 8th
- Podcast
- Straight Outta Vegas AM
- Published
- Jul 8, 2026
- Duration seconds
- 805
- Processing state
not_requested
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Summary
Griffin Warner talks betting for Wednesday. Episode 60 of What I Bet lands on a rare open date, the first day without World Cup soccer since June 10, so host Griffin Warner turns the full show over to Major League Baseball, walking through every game on the July 8 card with numbers he builds himself before ever looking at the market. He opens by circling back to a difficult Marlins home game from the night before, a 4-0 deficit that briefly tightened to 5-4 on a wild pitch, tying it to a second straight rough outing from Miami's starter and a stat about teams winning roughly 34 straight games at home when holding a three or four run cushion. From there he moves methodically through the slate, starting with Toronto's Dylan Cease as a modest road favorite over San Francisco's Logan Webb, where a low total and tricky daytime hitting conditions push him toward the under. The Cubs and Orioles get a cautious look with bullpen concerns on both sides, including an Orioles reliever heading to the injured list amid what Warner calls ongoing organizational turbulence since a change in ownership. The night's headline pick arrives with Atlanta's visit to Pittsburgh, where Warner details the Braves' fall from one of the sport's largest division leads, the absence of a key everyday player, and the loss of a closer who had taken over that role after arriving from San Diego, all feeding into a string of bullpen collapses including a near meltdown against the Mets. He leans to Jared Jones and the Pirates at minus 115, a matchup edge he sees clearly favoring Pittsburgh's rotation arm even with a shaky bullpen behind him, and it becomes the show's official best bet of the night. Elsewhere on the card, Gerrit Cole is priced as an unusually large underdog in Tampa against a Rays lineup Warn…