Episode
Quantifying Deception & The Rays’ Fast Start
- Published
- May 7, 2026
- Duration seconds
- 3701
- Processing state
not_requested- Canonical source
- https://shows.acast.com/rates-barrels-a-show-about-baseball/episodes/quantifying-deception-the-rays-fast-start
Actions
POST https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/rates-barrels-a-show-about-baseball-692652/episodes/quantifying-deception-the-rays-fast-start/transcription-requests
Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode.GET https://stenobird.com/podcast/rates-barrels-a-show-about-baseball-692652/quantifying-deception-the-rays-fast-start.md
Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource.
Summary
Eno, Trevor, and DVR unveil Trevor’s new deception model, digging into how it works, what it’s designed to measure, and the challenges of quantifying deception. They also break down the current leaders in deception among starters and relievers, and reveal where listeners can access the model (Hint: coming soon to Discord!). Later, they bring back How I’d Pitch This Guy with a look at Junior Caminero before shifting to the Rays’ rotation, focusing on Shane McClanahan and Griffin Jax. Rundown: 1:15 Quantifying Deception: From 2016 to 2026 8:39 Current Kings of Deception: Top-Five Starting Pitchers for 2026 9:30 Current Kings of Deception: Top-Five Relief Pitchers for 2026 15:10 Looking to the Future: More Precision From Impact of Hitter's Vision? 23:15 Deception Model Coming Soon to Discord! 23:51 The Rays' 24-12 Start: What's Working Thus Far? 26:04 Is the League Pitching the Rays Wrong? 36:44 How I'd Pitch This Guy: Junior Caminero 42:33 Starkville Sneak Peek 44:38 Knocking the Rust Off: Shane McClanahan 49:46 Getting Out of Rehab Mode 54:37 Expectations for Griffin Jax as a Starter Eno's FanGraphs Blog Post: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/an-attempt-to-quantify-pitcher-deception/ Follow DVR on Bluesky: @DVR.bsky.social Follow Eno on Bluesky: @enosarris.bsky.social Follow Trevor on Bluesky: @iamtrevormay.bsky.social e-mail: [email protected] Join our Discord: https://discord.gg/FyBa9f3wFe Subscribe to The Athletic: theathletic.com/ratesandbarrels Hosts: Derek VanRiper & Eno Sarris With: Trevor May Editor: Jason Potere Hosted on Acast. See acast.com/privacy for more information.