Episode
Steve Hanke: Massive Inflation Ahead & Markets ‘Totally Complacent’ On Iran War
- Podcast
- Palisades Gold Radio
- Published
- Apr 23, 2026
- Duration seconds
- 3087
- Processing state
not_requested
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Summary
Stijn Schmitz welcomes Steve Hanke, Professor of Applied Economics at Johns Hopkins University, to discuss global economic trends, monetary policy, and the emerging commodity super cycle. The professor’s outlook suggests a complex economic landscape with potential for significant disruption, driven by monetary policy, geopolitical tensions, and structural changes in global trade and commodity markets. Hanke emphasizes the critical importance of money supply as a key indicator of economic activity and inflation, noting that the United States is currently experiencing an accelerating money supply that will make controlling inflation challenging. The discussion highlights several significant global economic dynamics, particularly focusing on commodity markets and geopolitical tensions. Hanke argues that the world is entering a commodity super cycle characterized by underinvestment, supply chain disruptions, and precautionary inventory building. The ongoing conflict in the Gulf region and disruptions to global trade have further complicated commodity markets, with potential oil prices ranging from $100 to $350 per barrel depending on supply constraints. Geopolitically, Hanke suggests that Russia and China are emerging as significant winners in this environment, while the United States has potentially weakened its global position through its actions. He dismisses concerns about de-dollarization, arguing that the US dollar remains the dominant global currency with limited realistic alternatives. On inflation, Hanke predicts continued upward pressure due to monetary policy loosening, commercial bank lending growth, and federal reserve actions. He emphasizes that inflation is fundamentally a monetary phenomenon, driven by increases in money supply rather than isolated ec…