Episode
Is this HUGE Rally Real? Will we FINALLY Get a Breakout?
- Published
- Sep 4, 2026
- Duration seconds
- 1068
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Summary
The market is up big today… but does that actually mean the bull market is back? SPY and QQQ are both pushing higher, yet this market has spent weeks bouncing back and forth inside the same range. One green candle can create a massive amount of FOMO, but when you zoom out, price is still sitting near levels we saw only days ago. And that's the problem with a “kangaroo” or pinball market. It jumps up, falls down, jumps up again, and makes traders feel like they're constantly missing something. These are some of the hardest conditions to trade because there isn't a clean trend to sit in. Instead, traders get tempted into chasing every short-term move. The trend template is technically bullish. The 10 EMA is above the 20 EMA and price is above the 50 EMA. But market breadth tells a very different story. Every single sector still has bearish breadth, the number of stocks in uptrends has been falling, downtrends have been increasing, and only about 18% of the market currently has buy signals. That's why one of the biggest lessons in this episode is simple: when there's nothing to trade, sitting in cash is still a position. Trying to catch every little move can drain an account before the real opportunity ever arrives. Energy and materials are the only sectors showing positive weekly and monthly performance, and even those come with serious problems. Materials continues to see increasing sell signals, while energy carries significant geopolitical catalyst risk. Instead of forcing trades, we're using this period to build better trading plans. SPY and QQQ are beginning to develop into different strategies, with the focus shifting beyond pure expectancy toward something just as important: whether a trader can actually stick with the plan. That leads into the “Emotional Comfort…