Episode

Kerr Neilson on oil shocks and why gold will hit $8,000

Podcast
Basis Points
Published
Mar 10, 2026
Duration seconds
1797
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Canonical source
https://shows.acast.com/basis-points/episodes/kerr-neilson-oil-supply-is-the-biggest-risk-to-markets-in-20
Audio
https://sphinx.acast.com/p/open/s/67bbf55519249d0c1a4bb224/e/69af6af4765824af4750f90a/media.mp3
JSON
/v1/public/podcasts/basis-points-7236245/episodes/kerr-neilson-on-oil-shocks-and-why-gold-will-hit-8-000
Markdown
/podcast/basis-points-7236245/kerr-neilson-on-oil-shocks-and-why-gold-will-hit-8-000.md

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Summary

Kerr Neilson, the legendary contrarian investor behind Platinum, lays out a bold case for why the next decade may belong not to AI darlings. He argues markets are entering a period of profound disruption, pointing to geopolitical fragmentation, war in the Middle East, and fragile global oil supply as long-term threats- warning these forces are reshaping markets. Beyond the macro themes, he offers practical insights for advisers: the dangers of crowded trades, the inefficiencies created by passive investing, and the importance of contrarian thinking in an ETF-dominated world. His message is clear. The biggest opportunities often lie where capital has been scarce. In this episode: 00:00 Why Contrarian Investing Still Works 03:00 Where ETF Crowding Creates Opportunity 06:00 How Oil Shocks Could Reshape Portfolios 08:42 Balancing Gold, Cash And Real Assets 11:20 What Samsung And Platinum Signal 16:10 Where Advisers May Find Mispriced Value πŸ“ˆ  Stocks and ETFs Mentioned: Samsung (KRX: 005930) Impala (JSE: IMP) Petrobras (NYSE: PBR) Sky Metals (ASX: SKY) Valterra Platinum (JSE: VTR) 🎟️ Join us at the Basis Points Boat Party, get your tickets here . β€”β€”β€” CPD Points: This episode is accredited for the following CPD points by the Financial Advice Association of Australia (FAAA). 0.50 Total Hours Knowledge Requirements: Managed Investments ( 0.50 hour ) | Legislated CPD Area: Technical Competence ( 0.50 hour ) Complete the quiz here to claim your points β€”β€”β€” Want more Basis Points? Sign up to the  Basis Points email Join the conversation  on LinkedIn Watch all episodes in full and relive some of our favourite clips  on YouTube β€”β€”β€”- Basis Points is a product of Equity Mates Media. This podcast is intended for education and entertainment purposes. Any advice is ge…