{"podcast":{"title":"ToKCast","slug":"tokcast-76992","podcast_index_feed_id":76992,"rss_url":"https://brettroberthall.podbean.com/feed.xml","website_url":"https://brettroberthall.podbean.com","image_url":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/imglogo/image-logo/3210771/TOKCAST_e8uwkp.png","author":"Brett Hall","episode_count":263,"summary":"This is a podcast primarily about the work of philosopher and physicist David Deutsch and related matters (such as Popperian epistemology). I read from and comment upon the books ”The Beginning of Infinity” & ”The Fabric of Reality” (both by Deutsch), ”The Science of Can & Can’t” (by Deutsch’s collegue Marletto) and ”Rationality” by Pinker (so far). In addition I make stand alone episodes about topics like resources, environmentalism, economics, science, philosophy, epistemology (especially explanations) and reason broadly.","last_synced_at":"2026-07-05T14:17:01.933436+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/tokcast-76992"},"episode":{"title":"Ep 248: AI and Philosophy of Science","slug":"ep-248-ai-and-philosophy-of-science","published_at":"2025-10-13T20:00:33+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/tokcast-76992/ep-248-ai-and-philosophy-of-science","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/tokcast-76992","url":"https://brettroberthall.podbean.com/e/ep-248-ai-and-philosophy-of-science/","audio_url":"https://mcdn.podbean.com/mf/web/w2xcqmp4jmsxigdk/AI_and_philosophy_of_science_podcast9x5uf.mp3","summary":"This is the extended \"director's cut\" of a talk delivered for \"RatFest 2025\" (next year to be \"Conjecture Con\"). This also serves as a supplement to my \"Doom Debates\" interview which can be found here: https://youtu.be/koubXR0YL4A?si=483M6SPOKwbQYmzb It is simply assumed some version of \"Bayesian reasoning\" is how AI will \"create\" knowledge. This misconception permeates the https://ai-2027.com paper, as well as Bostrom and Yudkowsky's work on this, as well as that of every other AI \"Doomer\" and even on the other extreme the so-called \"AI-Accelerationists\". All of that indicates a deep misconception about how new explanations are generated which comes from a deep misconception about how science works because almost no one in the field of AI seems to think the *philosophy of* science is even relevant. I explain what has gone wrong: 00:00 Introduction 09:14 The Big Questions and the new Priesthoods 18:40 Nick Bostrom and Superintelligence 25:10 If anyone builds it, everyone dies and Yudkowsky. 33:32 Prophecy, Inevitability, Induction and Bayesianism. 41:42 Popper, Kuhn, Feyerabend and Lakatos. 49:40 AI researchers ignore The Philosophy of Science. 58:46 A new test for AGI from Sam Altman and David Deutsch? 1:03:35 Accelerationists, Doomers and “Everyone dies”. 1:10:21 Conclusions 1:15:35 Audience Questions","meta_description":"This is the extended \"director's cut\" of a talk delivered for \"RatFest 2025\" (next year to be \"Conjecture Con\"). This also serves as a supplement to my \"D…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":5139,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/tokcast-76992/episodes/ep-248-ai-and-philosophy-of-science/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/tokcast-76992/ep-248-ai-and-philosophy-of-science.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}