{"podcast":{"title":"The Federal Reserve Podcast with Fexingo: Interest Rates, FOMC Meetings, and Monetary Policy","slug":"the-federal-reserve-podcast-with-fexingo-interest-rates-fomc-meetings-and-monetary-policy-7871696","podcast_index_feed_id":7871696,"rss_url":"https://feeds.fexingo.com/business/the-federal-reserve-podcast.xml","website_url":"https://www.fexingo.com/","image_url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-federal-reserve-podcast/cover.png","author":"Fexingo","episode_count":121,"summary":"Lucas and Luna dissect the Federal Reserve's every move—from FOMC rate decisions and dot-plot projections to the arcane mechanics of open market operations. Each episode opens with a live data snapshot: the current fed funds rate, Treasury yield curve slope, and the latest reading on the Fed's preferred inflation gauge (PCE). Then they argue over what the data actually means. Should the market price in a cut? Is QT about to end? Why did one regional Fed president break with the consensus? The conversation is calibrated for the listener who already knows the difference between IOER and ON RRP and wants to hear two incisive analysts—not pundits—wrestle with the nuances. Lucas brings the journalist's instinct for what matters to Main Street; Luna pushes back with the macro quant's obsession with regime odds. Together they walk the line between monetary theory and the real-world bets that portfolio managers, corporate treasurers, and independent investors are making this week. No helicopter economics. No 'Fed will save us' cheerleading. Just a clear-eyed, numbers-driven interrogation of the central bank that moves every market. By the end, you'll have a sharper framework for interpret…","last_synced_at":"2026-07-18T12:19:18.798932+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-federal-reserve-podcast-with-fexingo-interest-rates-fomc-meetings-and-monetary-policy-7871696"},"episode":{"title":"How the Fed Reads Falling Breakeven Rates","slug":"how-the-fed-reads-falling-breakeven-rates","published_at":"2026-06-17T05:34:09+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-federal-reserve-podcast-with-fexingo-interest-rates-fomc-meetings-and-monetary-policy-7871696/how-the-fed-reads-falling-breakeven-rates","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-federal-reserve-podcast-with-fexingo-interest-rates-fomc-meetings-and-monetary-policy-7871696","url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-federal-reserve-podcast/episode-0057.mp3","audio_url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-federal-reserve-podcast/episode-0057.mp3","summary":"With the S&P 500 rallying to 7,511 and the Dow at 52,000, you'd expect inflation expectations to be rising. But the 10-year breakeven inflation rate has actually ticked down to 2.29 percent. Lucas and Luna unpack what the Federal Reserve makes of this disconnect — whether falling breakevens signal a darkening growth outlook beneath the equity rally, and why the Fed might care more about this metric than the latest CPI print. They discuss the mechanics of TIPS versus nominal Treasuries, compare the current 2.29 percent reading to the pre-pandemic normal, and explore how geopolitical risks like the Iran situation shape the bond market's inflation calculus. A tight episode on the one number that has the Fed's attention this week. #FederalReserve #BreakevenInflation #InflationExpectations #TIPS #BondMarkets #MonetaryPolicy #FOMC #TreasuryYields #Economics #CPI #InterestRates #Podcast #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #MarketDisconnect #GeopoliticalRisk #LucasAndLuna #FedWatch Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo","meta_description":"With the S&P 500 rallying to 7,511 and the Dow at 52,000, you'd expect inflation expectations to be rising. But the 10-year breakeven inflation rate h…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":429,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-federal-reserve-podcast-with-fexingo-interest-rates-fomc-meetings-and-monetary-policy-7871696/episodes/how-the-fed-reads-falling-breakeven-rates/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-federal-reserve-podcast-with-fexingo-interest-rates-fomc-meetings-and-monetary-policy-7871696/how-the-fed-reads-falling-breakeven-rates.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}