{"podcast":{"title":"The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo: Predictions, Outlooks, and What's Coming Next","slug":"the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824","podcast_index_feed_id":7871824,"rss_url":"https://feeds.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast.xml","website_url":"https://www.fexingo.com/","image_url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/cover.png","author":"Fexingo","episode_count":130,"summary":"Every weekday, Lucas and Luna sit down at the forecast desk to examine the macroeconomic forces shaping the next quarter, the next year, and the next decade. They don't trade in headlines or market chatter. Instead, they walk through the actual data releases—CPI prints, payroll reports, PMI surveys, central-bank statements—and debate what the numbers mean for investors, business leaders, and policymakers. Lucas, the lead, draws on a journalist's instinct for what matters; Luna, the engaged interlocutor, pushes back with the skepticism of a veteran analyst. Together they dissect fan-of-possibilities projections from the Fed and the IMF, weigh the odds of recession versus soft landing, and trace how shifts in fiscal policy ripple through bond markets, currencies, and capital flows. The listener is someone who already knows the difference between a basis point and a percentage point, who reads central-bank minutes for fun, and who wants a conversation that treats macroeconomics as a discipline—not a spectator sport. Each episode leaves you with one specific question: given what we know today, which of those branching forecast paths is most likely, and why? #Macroeconomics #FederalRes…","last_synced_at":"2026-07-24T16:18:28.846810+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824"},"episode":{"title":"Why Wage Growth Is Finally Beating Inflation for Ordinary Workers","slug":"why-wage-growth-is-finally-beating-inflation-for-ordinary-workers","published_at":"2026-07-20T20:13:58+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/why-wage-growth-is-finally-beating-inflation-for-ordinary-workers","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824","url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/episode-0123.mp3","audio_url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/episode-0123.mp3","summary":"In this episode of The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo, Lucas and Luna unpack a quietly significant shift in the US labor market: for the first time since 2021, average hourly earnings are growing faster than core inflation across multiple income brackets. Using fresh June data—average hourly earnings at $37.60, core CPI at 336.1—they show how the gap is closing for the median worker, even as the top and bottom deciles see different outcomes. Lucas points to the surprising driver: not tight labor alone, but a compositional shift as low-wage hospitality jobs rebuild and high-wage tech hiring normalizes. Luna zooms in on the JOLTS data—7.59 million openings—and asks whether wage gains can persist without reigniting service inflation. The hosts also explore the regional divergence: the Sun Belt is seeing real wage growth above 3 percent while the Midwest lags. A must-listen for anyone watching whether consumers can sustain spending into late 2026. #WageGrowth #RealWages #Inflation #LaborMarket #AverageHourlyEarnings #CoreCPI #JOLTS #JobOpenings #FedPolicy #ServiceInflation #RegionalEconomy #SunBelt #Midwest #HiringTrends #EconomicForecast #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Economics Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo","meta_description":"In this episode of The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo, Lucas and Luna unpack a quietly significant shift in the US labor market: for the first tim…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":457,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/episodes/why-wage-growth-is-finally-beating-inflation-for-ordinary-workers/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/why-wage-growth-is-finally-beating-inflation-for-ordinary-workers.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}