{"podcast":{"title":"The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo: Predictions, Outlooks, and What's Coming Next","slug":"the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824","podcast_index_feed_id":7871824,"rss_url":"https://feeds.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast.xml","website_url":"https://www.fexingo.com/","image_url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/cover.png","author":"Fexingo","episode_count":130,"summary":"Every weekday, Lucas and Luna sit down at the forecast desk to examine the macroeconomic forces shaping the next quarter, the next year, and the next decade. They don't trade in headlines or market chatter. Instead, they walk through the actual data releases—CPI prints, payroll reports, PMI surveys, central-bank statements—and debate what the numbers mean for investors, business leaders, and policymakers. Lucas, the lead, draws on a journalist's instinct for what matters; Luna, the engaged interlocutor, pushes back with the skepticism of a veteran analyst. Together they dissect fan-of-possibilities projections from the Fed and the IMF, weigh the odds of recession versus soft landing, and trace how shifts in fiscal policy ripple through bond markets, currencies, and capital flows. The listener is someone who already knows the difference between a basis point and a percentage point, who reads central-bank minutes for fun, and who wants a conversation that treats macroeconomics as a discipline—not a spectator sport. Each episode leaves you with one specific question: given what we know today, which of those branching forecast paths is most likely, and why? #Macroeconomics #FederalRes…","last_synced_at":"2026-07-24T16:18:28.846810+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824"},"episode":{"title":"Why the VIX Spike Matters in a Calm Market","slug":"why-the-vix-spike-matters-in-a-calm-market","published_at":"2026-07-17T07:53:01+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/why-the-vix-spike-matters-in-a-calm-market","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824","url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/episode-0116.mp3","audio_url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/episode-0116.mp3","summary":"The stock market is near record highs, yet the VIX just jumped 4.6% in a week and the VVIX surged 11.5%. In this episode, Lucas and Luna unpack the divergence between placid index levels and rising volatility expectations. They explore what the VIX structure reveals about bond market anxiety, Hormuz tensions, and the Fed's delicate holding pattern. With the 10-year Treasury at 4.57% and breakeven inflation ticking down, the hosts discuss whether the calm before the storm is already here — and what history says about volatility spikes when the Fed is on hold. #VIX #VolatilityIndex #VVIX #VolatilityOfVolatility #BondMarket #10YearTreasury #FedOnHold #Inflation #BreakevenRate #MiddleEastTensions #Hormuz #MarketAnxiety #StockMarket #S&amp;P500 #CentralBankPolicy #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo","meta_description":"The stock market is near record highs, yet the VIX just jumped 4.6% in a week and the VVIX surged 11.5%. In this episode, Lucas and Luna unpack the diverg…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":491,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/episodes/why-the-vix-spike-matters-in-a-calm-market/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/why-the-vix-spike-matters-in-a-calm-market.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}