{"podcast":{"title":"The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo: Predictions, Outlooks, and What's Coming Next","slug":"the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824","podcast_index_feed_id":7871824,"rss_url":"https://feeds.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast.xml","website_url":"https://www.fexingo.com/","image_url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/cover.png","author":"Fexingo","episode_count":130,"summary":"Every weekday, Lucas and Luna sit down at the forecast desk to examine the macroeconomic forces shaping the next quarter, the next year, and the next decade. They don't trade in headlines or market chatter. Instead, they walk through the actual data releases—CPI prints, payroll reports, PMI surveys, central-bank statements—and debate what the numbers mean for investors, business leaders, and policymakers. Lucas, the lead, draws on a journalist's instinct for what matters; Luna, the engaged interlocutor, pushes back with the skepticism of a veteran analyst. Together they dissect fan-of-possibilities projections from the Fed and the IMF, weigh the odds of recession versus soft landing, and trace how shifts in fiscal policy ripple through bond markets, currencies, and capital flows. The listener is someone who already knows the difference between a basis point and a percentage point, who reads central-bank minutes for fun, and who wants a conversation that treats macroeconomics as a discipline—not a spectator sport. Each episode leaves you with one specific question: given what we know today, which of those branching forecast paths is most likely, and why? #Macroeconomics #FederalRes…","last_synced_at":"2026-07-24T16:18:28.846810+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824"},"episode":{"title":"Why the Fed Funds Rate Stays Flat While the Economy Shifts","slug":"why-the-fed-funds-rate-stays-flat-while-the-economy-shifts","published_at":"2026-07-17T20:16:17+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/why-the-fed-funds-rate-stays-flat-while-the-economy-shifts","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824","url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/episode-0117.mp3","audio_url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/episode-0117.mp3","summary":"On this episode of The Economic Forecast Podcast, Lucas and Luna dig into the Fed funds effective rate, which has held steady at 3.63 percent since April 2026, even as other parts of the economy show clear movement. They explore why the Fed is keeping the interest on reserve balances at 3.65 percent while inflation cools, wholesale prices drop, and the labor market tightens. The conversation covers the messaging challenge the Fed faces: if the economy is softening, why isn't the rate coming down? And if it's still strong, why did the PPI decline point to disinflation? They also look at how import prices, especially from China, are creating a counter-narrative. The hosts connect these dots to what it means for borrowers, savers, and investors in late July 2026. A tight, data-driven episode that helps listeners understand the current policy standoff and what might break the stalemate. #FedFundsRate #FederalReserve #InterestOnReserves #MonetaryPolicy #CPI #PPI #Inflation #ImportPrices #ChinaTrade #Disinflation #LaborMarket #JoblessClaims #WageGrowth #Economics #EconomicForecast #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #MacroEconomics Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo","meta_description":"On this episode of The Economic Forecast Podcast, Lucas and Luna dig into the Fed funds effective rate, which has held steady at 3.63 percent since April…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":478,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/episodes/why-the-fed-funds-rate-stays-flat-while-the-economy-shifts/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/why-the-fed-funds-rate-stays-flat-while-the-economy-shifts.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}