{"podcast":{"title":"The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo: Predictions, Outlooks, and What's Coming Next","slug":"the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824","podcast_index_feed_id":7871824,"rss_url":"https://feeds.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast.xml","website_url":"https://www.fexingo.com/","image_url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/cover.png","author":"Fexingo","episode_count":130,"summary":"Every weekday, Lucas and Luna sit down at the forecast desk to examine the macroeconomic forces shaping the next quarter, the next year, and the next decade. They don't trade in headlines or market chatter. Instead, they walk through the actual data releases—CPI prints, payroll reports, PMI surveys, central-bank statements—and debate what the numbers mean for investors, business leaders, and policymakers. Lucas, the lead, draws on a journalist's instinct for what matters; Luna, the engaged interlocutor, pushes back with the skepticism of a veteran analyst. Together they dissect fan-of-possibilities projections from the Fed and the IMF, weigh the odds of recession versus soft landing, and trace how shifts in fiscal policy ripple through bond markets, currencies, and capital flows. The listener is someone who already knows the difference between a basis point and a percentage point, who reads central-bank minutes for fun, and who wants a conversation that treats macroeconomics as a discipline—not a spectator sport. Each episode leaves you with one specific question: given what we know today, which of those branching forecast paths is most likely, and why? #Macroeconomics #FederalRes…","last_synced_at":"2026-07-24T16:18:28.846810+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824"},"episode":{"title":"Why the Fed Funds Rate Is Flat While the Rest of the Economy Shifts","slug":"why-the-fed-funds-rate-is-flat-while-the-rest-of-the-economy-shifts","published_at":"2026-07-23T20:11:42+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/why-the-fed-funds-rate-is-flat-while-the-rest-of-the-economy-shifts","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824","url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/episode-0129.mp3","audio_url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/episode-0129.mp3","summary":"The Fed Funds rate has been stuck at 3.63% since June, but underneath that flat line, the economy is moving fast. Core CPI is finally cooling, wholesale prices surprised to the downside, and the yield curve is steepening in a way that usually signals recession. Lucas and Luna dig into the disconnect between a static Fed and a dynamic economy. They explore why the Fed is comfortable holding steady, how falling goods prices are masking sticky services inflation, and what the steepening yield curve really means for the next six months. Plus, a look at why jobless claims just hit 187,000 — a level historically associated with expansion, not contraction. This is Episode 129 of The Economic Forecast Podcast. #FedFundsRate #EconomicForecast #Inflation #YieldCurve #SteepeningCurve #CoreCPI #WholesalePrices #JoblessClaims #FederalReserve #MonetaryPolicy #Economics #LaborMarket #BondMarket #RecessionSignal #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #EconomicForecastPodcast #LucasAndLuna Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo","meta_description":"The Fed Funds rate has been stuck at 3.63% since June, but underneath that flat line, the economy is moving fast. Core CPI is finally cooling, wholesale p…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":471,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/episodes/why-the-fed-funds-rate-is-flat-while-the-rest-of-the-economy-shifts/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/why-the-fed-funds-rate-is-flat-while-the-rest-of-the-economy-shifts.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}