{"podcast":{"title":"The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo: Predictions, Outlooks, and What's Coming Next","slug":"the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824","podcast_index_feed_id":7871824,"rss_url":"https://feeds.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast.xml","website_url":"https://www.fexingo.com/","image_url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/cover.png","author":"Fexingo","episode_count":130,"summary":"Every weekday, Lucas and Luna sit down at the forecast desk to examine the macroeconomic forces shaping the next quarter, the next year, and the next decade. They don't trade in headlines or market chatter. Instead, they walk through the actual data releases—CPI prints, payroll reports, PMI surveys, central-bank statements—and debate what the numbers mean for investors, business leaders, and policymakers. Lucas, the lead, draws on a journalist's instinct for what matters; Luna, the engaged interlocutor, pushes back with the skepticism of a veteran analyst. Together they dissect fan-of-possibilities projections from the Fed and the IMF, weigh the odds of recession versus soft landing, and trace how shifts in fiscal policy ripple through bond markets, currencies, and capital flows. The listener is someone who already knows the difference between a basis point and a percentage point, who reads central-bank minutes for fun, and who wants a conversation that treats macroeconomics as a discipline—not a spectator sport. Each episode leaves you with one specific question: given what we know today, which of those branching forecast paths is most likely, and why? #Macroeconomics #FederalRes…","last_synced_at":"2026-07-24T16:18:28.846810+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824"},"episode":{"title":"Why Small Business Optimism Is Rising Despite Higher Treasury Yields","slug":"why-small-business-optimism-is-rising-despite-higher-treasury-yields","published_at":"2026-07-21T20:28:49+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/why-small-business-optimism-is-rising-despite-higher-treasury-yields","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824","url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/episode-0125.mp3","audio_url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/episode-0125.mp3","summary":"Episode 125 of The Economic Forecast Podcast digs into the disconnect between rising small business optimism and the creeping sell-off in long-term Treasuries. Lucas and Luna examine the NFIB optimism index—now at its highest since early 2024—alongside the ten-year yield pushing above 4.6 percent. They explore how Main Street's brighter mood may reflect a different rate sensitivity than Wall Street assumes, and what this means for the economy's trajectory into the second half of 2026. The conversation pulls in data on the Fed funds rate holding flat at 3.63 percent, the VIX edging up to 17, and the surprising resilience of small business hiring plans even as larger firms slow recruitment. A focused look at the real economy vs. the bond market. #SmallBusiness #NFIB #OptimismIndex #TreasuryYields #TenYearYield #FedPolicy #MainStreet #Economy2026 #BusinessSentiment #HiringPlans #VIX #RateOutlook #EconomicForecast #PodcastEpisode #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Macro Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo","meta_description":"Episode 125 of The Economic Forecast Podcast digs into the disconnect between rising small business optimism and the creeping sell-off in long-term Treasu…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":431,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/episodes/why-small-business-optimism-is-rising-despite-higher-treasury-yields/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/why-small-business-optimism-is-rising-despite-higher-treasury-yields.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}