{"podcast":{"title":"The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo: Predictions, Outlooks, and What's Coming Next","slug":"the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824","podcast_index_feed_id":7871824,"rss_url":"https://feeds.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast.xml","website_url":"https://www.fexingo.com/","image_url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/cover.png","author":"Fexingo","episode_count":130,"summary":"Every weekday, Lucas and Luna sit down at the forecast desk to examine the macroeconomic forces shaping the next quarter, the next year, and the next decade. They don't trade in headlines or market chatter. Instead, they walk through the actual data releases—CPI prints, payroll reports, PMI surveys, central-bank statements—and debate what the numbers mean for investors, business leaders, and policymakers. Lucas, the lead, draws on a journalist's instinct for what matters; Luna, the engaged interlocutor, pushes back with the skepticism of a veteran analyst. Together they dissect fan-of-possibilities projections from the Fed and the IMF, weigh the odds of recession versus soft landing, and trace how shifts in fiscal policy ripple through bond markets, currencies, and capital flows. The listener is someone who already knows the difference between a basis point and a percentage point, who reads central-bank minutes for fun, and who wants a conversation that treats macroeconomics as a discipline—not a spectator sport. Each episode leaves you with one specific question: given what we know today, which of those branching forecast paths is most likely, and why? #Macroeconomics #FederalRes…","last_synced_at":"2026-07-24T16:18:28.846810+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824"},"episode":{"title":"The Tax Revenue Conundrum Behind Falling Unemployment","slug":"the-tax-revenue-conundrum-behind-falling-unemployment","published_at":"2026-07-13T07:58:22+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/the-tax-revenue-conundrum-behind-falling-unemployment","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824","url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/episode-0108.mp3","audio_url":"https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/episode-0108.mp3","summary":"In this episode of The Economic Forecast Podcast, Lucas and Luna explore a surprising paradox in the July 2026 economy: the unemployment rate has fallen to 4.2 percent, but federal tax receipts are growing slower than nominal GDP. They break down the role of capital gains taxes, corporate profit margins shrinking from 12.4 to 11.8 percent, and the shift from wage income to investment income. The discussion also touches on how the Treasury's borrowing needs are affected, with the ten-year yield rising to 4.57 percent. A must-listen for anyone trying to understand why a strong labor market isn't translating into stronger government revenues. #TaxRevenue #Unemployment #FiscalPolicy #CapitalGains #CorporateProfits #TreasuryYields #10YearYield #GDP #LaborMarket #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #EconomicForecast #Podcast #TaxPolicy #FederalBudget #ProfitMargins #BondMarket Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo","meta_description":"In this episode of The Economic Forecast Podcast, Lucas and Luna explore a surprising paradox in the July 2026 economy: the unemployment rate has fallen t…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":443,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/episodes/the-tax-revenue-conundrum-behind-falling-unemployment/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/the-tax-revenue-conundrum-behind-falling-unemployment.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}