{"podcast":{"title":"Predictable with Stu Burguiere","slug":"predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462","podcast_index_feed_id":22462,"rss_url":"https://feeds.megaphone.fm/BMDC7674164347","website_url":"https://predictable.substack.com/","image_url":"https://megaphone.imgix.net/podcasts/6131f8f6-28dc-11ea-8278-2b5e9e99e252/image/3094b8632eb580f51d33264e30241ae5.png?ixlib=rails-4.3.1&max-w=3000&max-h=3000&fit=crop&auto=format,compress","author":"Predictable Media","episode_count":200,"summary":"Predictable with Stu Burguiere is a smarter, more useful way to follow the news, using prediction markets to break down what’s happening, why it’s happening and where it’s likely going next.","last_synced_at":"2026-07-24T08:18:03.561374+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462"},"episode":{"title":"What the Markets Know About the Election That You Don’t","slug":"what-the-markets-know-about-the-election-that-you-don-t","published_at":"2026-05-05T23:00:00+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462/what-the-markets-know-about-the-election-that-you-don-t","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462","url":"https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/pfx.vpixl.com/4V6da/arttrk.com/p/BLZM1/verifi.podscribe.com/rss/p/mgln.ai/e/285/pscrb.fm/rss/p/prfx.byspotify.com/e/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.megaphone.fm/RSV1725060596.mp3?updated=1778017912","audio_url":"https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/pfx.vpixl.com/4V6da/arttrk.com/p/BLZM1/verifi.podscribe.com/rss/p/mgln.ai/e/285/pscrb.fm/rss/p/prfx.byspotify.com/e/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.megaphone.fm/RSV1725060596.mp3?updated=1778017912","summary":"Stu Burguiere breaks down what the prediction markets are quietly signaling about today’s elections and why the real story might not match the headlines. While pundits focus on primaries and redistricting, the markets are pricing in a very different reality, and Stu explains what those hidden signals could mean for who actually gains power. Also, what do the markets say about a prolonged oil crisis? Stu takes a look at the surprising gap between media panic and market expectations. Plus, the unsolicited bid from GameStop to acquire eBay. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices","meta_description":"Stu Burguiere breaks down what the prediction markets are quietly signaling about today’s elections and why the real story might not match the headlines.…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":2464,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462/episodes/what-the-markets-know-about-the-election-that-you-don-t/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462/what-the-markets-know-about-the-election-that-you-don-t.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}