{"podcast":{"title":"Predictable with Stu Burguiere","slug":"predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462","podcast_index_feed_id":22462,"rss_url":"https://feeds.megaphone.fm/BMDC7674164347","website_url":"https://predictable.substack.com/","image_url":"https://megaphone.imgix.net/podcasts/6131f8f6-28dc-11ea-8278-2b5e9e99e252/image/3094b8632eb580f51d33264e30241ae5.png?ixlib=rails-4.3.1&max-w=3000&max-h=3000&fit=crop&auto=format,compress","author":"Predictable Media","episode_count":200,"summary":"Predictable with Stu Burguiere is a smarter, more useful way to follow the news, using prediction markets to break down what’s happening, why it’s happening and where it’s likely going next.","last_synced_at":"2026-07-24T08:18:03.561374+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462"},"episode":{"title":"The 10x Trade Hiding in Louisiana","slug":"the-10x-trade-hiding-in-louisiana","published_at":"2026-05-15T02:07:00+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462/the-10x-trade-hiding-in-louisiana","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462","url":"https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/pfx.vpixl.com/4V6da/arttrk.com/p/BLZM1/verifi.podscribe.com/rss/p/mgln.ai/e/285/pscrb.fm/rss/p/prfx.byspotify.com/e/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.megaphone.fm/RSV6147324078.mp3","audio_url":"https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/pfx.vpixl.com/4V6da/arttrk.com/p/BLZM1/verifi.podscribe.com/rss/p/mgln.ai/e/285/pscrb.fm/rss/p/prfx.byspotify.com/e/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.megaphone.fm/RSV6147324078.mp3","summary":"Trump has spent four years hunting one Republican senator: Bill Cassidy. Now Cassidy is trading at just 2 cents to survive his own Louisiana primary. But the real opportunity may not be taking a position against Cassidy. It may be on whether Trump-backed Julia Letlow wins outright Saturday night and avoids a runoff entirely. Stu breaks down the Cassidy revenge saga, the market mispricing hiding inside Louisiana’s weird election system, a cross-platform arb opportunity between Polymarket and Kalshi, listener questions on strategy and risk, and one long-shot weekend fight market Stu kinda likes. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices","meta_description":"Trump has spent four years hunting one Republican senator: Bill Cassidy. Now Cassidy is trading at just 2 cents to survive his own Louisiana primary. But…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":2898,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462/episodes/the-10x-trade-hiding-in-louisiana/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462/the-10x-trade-hiding-in-louisiana.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}