{"podcast":{"title":"Forward Guidance","slug":"forward-guidance-4502930","podcast_index_feed_id":4502930,"rss_url":"https://feeds.megaphone.fm/forwardguidance","website_url":"https://blockworks.co/podcasts/forwardguidance/","image_url":"https://megaphone.imgix.net/podcasts/f398def0-373d-11ec-a51f-8fb207c4cf09/image/a75147ace106f858919e6a202dfa4c94.png?ixlib=rails-4.3.1&max-w=3000&max-h=3000&fit=crop&auto=format,compress","author":"Blockworks","episode_count":605,"summary":"The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Felix Jauvin interviews the brightest minds in finance about which asset classes they think will thrive in the financial future that they envision. Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ForwardGuidanceBW Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx","last_synced_at":null,"page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/forward-guidance-4502930"},"episode":{"title":"The AI Bubble Is Widely Misunderstood | Steve Hou","slug":"the-ai-bubble-is-widely-misunderstood-steve-hou","published_at":"2026-04-29T19:14:00+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/forward-guidance-4502930/the-ai-bubble-is-widely-misunderstood-steve-hou","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/forward-guidance-4502930","url":"https://traffic.megaphone.fm/BWG3286352591.mp3","audio_url":"https://traffic.megaphone.fm/BWG3286352591.mp3","summary":"AI may be the most powerful economic force since the internet, but its true impact remains deeply uncertain. Steve Hou, Senior Quant Researcher at Bloomberg and a macroeconomist by training, joins us to unpack how AI is reshaping markets, investment cycles, and economic thinking. We explore whether this is just another bubble or something far more structural. We dive into AI-driven capex, productivity illusions, labor market shifts, inflation dynamics, and whether AI can actually solve the U.S. debt problem. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 03:21 AI’s Macro Impact 06:48 Historical Tech Bubbles 10:25 AI Capex Drives Growth 14:13 Ads (Fidelity Crypto) 15:23 How Big Can The Bubble Get? 20:14 Agentic AI Compute Demand 24:10 AI Is Too Cheap 28:15 Productivity Mirage 33:03 Ads (Fidelity Crypto) 34:24 Fed Policy And AI 41:02 Can AI Fix Debt? 47:34 Physical World Bottlenecks 49:47 The Future Of Economics FOLLOW STEVE HOU › X/Twitter – https://x.com/stevehou FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks SPONSORS › FIDELITY CRYPTO This episode is brought to you by Fidelity Crypto. Learn more at Fidelity.com/crypto Fidelity Crypto was built in-house with over a dozen years of crypto experience. So you can trade crypto and stocks in one place at Fidelity, backed by industry-leading security. Fidelity Crypto. We're here to help you feel good about investing in crypto. Crypto is offered by Fidelity Digital Assets, NA, is not insured by FDIC or SIPC and includes risk of complete loss. Securities offered by Fidelity Brokerage Services, LLC. Member NYSE, SIPC. https://www.fidelity.com/crypto/trading DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guida…","meta_description":"AI may be the most powerful economic force since the internet, but its true impact remains deeply uncertain. Steve Hou, Senior Quant Researcher at Bloombe…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":3342,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/forward-guidance-4502930/episodes/the-ai-bubble-is-widely-misunderstood-steve-hou/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/forward-guidance-4502930/the-ai-bubble-is-widely-misunderstood-steve-hou.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}