{"podcast":{"title":"Forward Guidance","slug":"forward-guidance-4502930","podcast_index_feed_id":4502930,"rss_url":"https://feeds.megaphone.fm/forwardguidance","website_url":"https://blockworks.co/podcasts/forwardguidance/","image_url":"https://megaphone.imgix.net/podcasts/f398def0-373d-11ec-a51f-8fb207c4cf09/image/a75147ace106f858919e6a202dfa4c94.png?ixlib=rails-4.3.1&max-w=3000&max-h=3000&fit=crop&auto=format,compress","author":"Blockworks","episode_count":605,"summary":"The laws of macro investing are being re-written, and investors who fail to adapt to the rapidly changing monetary environment will struggle to keep pace. Felix Jauvin interviews the brightest minds in finance about which asset classes they think will thrive in the financial future that they envision. Follow Felix: https://twitter.com/fejau_inc Follow Forward Guidance: https://twitter.com/ForwardGuidance Subscribe on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@ForwardGuidanceBW Follow Blockworks: https://twitter.com/Blockworks_ Forward Guidance Newsletter: https://blockworks.co/newsletter/forwardguidance Forward Guidance Telegram: https://t.me/+nSVVTQITWSdiYTIx","last_synced_at":null,"page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/forward-guidance-4502930"},"episode":{"title":"Markets Are Trapped Between Geopolitical Chaos and AI Productivity Boom | Weekly Roundup","slug":"markets-are-trapped-between-geopolitical-chaos-and-ai-productivity-boom-weekly-roundup","published_at":"2026-04-10T07:00:00+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/forward-guidance-4502930/markets-are-trapped-between-geopolitical-chaos-and-ai-productivity-boom-weekly-roundup","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/forward-guidance-4502930","url":"https://traffic.megaphone.fm/BWG9976886571.mp3","audio_url":"https://traffic.megaphone.fm/BWG9976886571.mp3","summary":"Markets are sending mixed signals with geopolitics, inflation, and positioning all pointing in different directions, raising concerns about whether this rally is real or just a temporary squeeze before the next leg down. This week, we break down how the proposed ceasefire and AI acceleration are colliding with market structure in a battle of fundamentals vs flows. We explore AI-led productivity boom, Trump's political dilemma, Fed policy uncertainty, gold’s resurgence, and whether dispersion, not direction, is the real trade. Enjoy! TIMESTAMPS: 00:00 Intro 04:21 Ceasefire Reality Check 07:28 Positioning Fuels the Bounce 11:25 Can VIX Stay Low? 14:28 Countertrend Rally or Not? 19:09 AI Compute Still Leads 28:11 Ads (Arkham, Blockworks IR) 30:06 Fed Cuts or Wishful Thinking? 34:05 China The New Bond Haven? 38:13 Best Trades in This Regime 44:14 Gold and Market Manipulation 49:50 Buy Non-US Again? FOLLOW THE SHOW › Forward Guidance – https://x.com/ForwardGuidance › Felix – https://x.com/fejau_inc › Quinn – https://x.com/qthomp › Tyler – https://x.com/Tyler_Neville › Telegram – https://t.me/+CAoZQpC-i6BjYTEx › Blockworks – https://x.com/Blockworks RESOURCES › Weekly Roundup Charts – https://drive.google.com/file/d/18AkSBzt_7Y_B8HX6BdbUyJ-kr7Q6Sqsq/view?usp=sharing SPONSORS › ARKHAM Arkham is a crypto exchange and blockchain analytics platform that allows traders and investors to look inside the wallets of the best traders, largest funds, and most influential players in crypto — and act on that information. Sign up to Arkham: https://auth.arkm.com/register?ref=blockworks Eligibility varies by jurisdiction. Users residing in certain jurisdictions will be excluded from onboarding. DISCLAIMER Nothing said on Forward Guidance is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tok…","meta_description":"Markets are sending mixed signals with geopolitics, inflation, and positioning all pointing in different directions, raising concerns about whether this r…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":3420,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/forward-guidance-4502930/episodes/markets-are-trapped-between-geopolitical-chaos-and-ai-productivity-boom-weekly-roundup/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/forward-guidance-4502930/markets-are-trapped-between-geopolitical-chaos-and-ai-productivity-boom-weekly-roundup.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}