{"podcast":{"title":"First Principles","slug":"first-principles-7708985","podcast_index_feed_id":7708985,"rss_url":"https://feeds.megaphone.fm/PODAGEN4765221373","website_url":null,"image_url":"https://megaphone.imgix.net/podcasts/06eebd2a-0779-11f1-826e-37926ac18342/image/fca7c8febd1441fc3b0d54084418b06d.png?ixlib=rails-4.3.1&max-w=3000&max-h=3000&fit=crop&auto=format,compress","author":"Adrian Wells","episode_count":324,"summary":"First Principles isn't another business podcast recycling the same startup stories. Adrian Wells takes the fundamentals that actually matter and breaks them down like you're having coffee with the smartest professor you ever had. Wells spent twelve years teaching philosophy and critical thinking before ditching the lecture hall for the microphone. Turns out, the same principles that help you think clearly about ancient Greek ethics also work pretty well for modern business decisions. Who knew? Every episode strips away the latest trends and buzzwords to focus on the core ideas that don't change. How to actually evaluate evidence when everyone's throwing around statistics. Why most \"revolutionary\" business advice is just old wine in new bottles. The thinking patterns that separate smart decisions from lucky guesses. You won't get hyped-up success stories or flavor-of-the-month strategies. Instead, you'll learn how to think through problems the way philosophers have for centuries, applied to the stuff that matters in your work and life right now. Multiple new episodes drop daily, so there's always something fresh when you need it. Follow now if you're ready to think better, not just…","last_synced_at":"2026-07-23T16:19:48.696188+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/first-principles-7708985"},"episode":{"title":"NYU Professor's Math: Trump Has 1 in 3 Chance of Dying as President","slug":"nyu-professor-s-math-trump-has-1-in-3-chance-of-dying-as-president","published_at":"2026-07-20T08:09:00+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/first-principles-7708985/nyu-professor-s-math-trump-has-1-in-3-chance-of-dying-as-president","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/first-principles-7708985","url":"https://traffic.megaphone.fm/PODAGEN4828883557.mp3?updated=1776257554","audio_url":"https://traffic.megaphone.fm/PODAGEN4828883557.mp3?updated=1776257554","summary":"What if a math professor just calculated something that could change the next four years of American politics? NYU's Scott Galloway ran the numbers on Trump's age and health data, and his conclusion is stark: there's a 1 in 3 chance Trump won't survive his presidency. Adrian Wells breaks down this statistical bombshell and what it means for succession planning, political strategy, and the reality of electing a 78-year-old president. 🎯 What You'll Learn: • Why Galloway's 33% mortality calculation is based on hard data, not politics • How presidential stress ages occupants 2-3 times faster than normal life • The historical precedent: only 8 presidents have died in office, but none were elected at 78 • What Trump being 82 at term's end means for American political planning 👤 Perfect for: lifelong learners and anyone who wants to understand the statistical realities behind political headlines without the partisan noise. 📍 Chapters: [00:00] Adrian Wells introduces Galloway's shocking calculation [01:45] The math behind presidential mortality rates [03:30] How stress accelerates aging in the Oval Office [06:00] Historical context: presidents who died in office [08:15] Trump at 82: unprecedented territory for US politics [10:30] What succession planning really looks like This isn't about politics. It's about data, precedent, and thinking clearly about statistical realities that everyone's talking around but nobody's calculating directly. 🔔 Never miss an episode: Follow First Principles on Spotify or Apple Podcasts and turn on notifications. New episodes drop daily, your next favorite insight is one tap away. 🔍 Topics: presidential mortality, statistical analysis, political succession, Scott Galloway, presidential aging Find all episodes at First Principles --------------- Key…","meta_description":"What if a math professor just calculated something that could change the next four years of American politics? NYU's Scott Galloway ran the numbers on Tru…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":1090,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/first-principles-7708985/episodes/nyu-professor-s-math-trump-has-1-in-3-chance-of-dying-as-president/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/first-principles-7708985/nyu-professor-s-math-trump-has-1-in-3-chance-of-dying-as-president.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}