{"podcast":{"title":"Doom Debates!","slug":"doom-debates-6934136","podcast_index_feed_id":6934136,"rss_url":"https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/1777870.rss","website_url":"https://lironshapira.substack.com/podcast","image_url":"https://substackcdn.com/feed/podcast/1777870/10d5e21d47152740410de1f6441ce8bb.jpg","author":"Liron Shapira","episode_count":177,"summary":"AI debates that must be resolved before the world ends","last_synced_at":"2026-07-30T10:18:31.431328+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/doom-debates-6934136"},"episode":{"title":"Living with a 50% P(AI Doom) — Liron Shapira and Peter Clarke","slug":"living-with-a-50-p-ai-doom-liron-shapira-and-peter-clarke","published_at":"2026-07-02T17:01:00+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/doom-debates-6934136/living-with-a-50-p-ai-doom-liron-shapira-and-peter-clarke","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/doom-debates-6934136","url":"https://lironshapira.substack.com/p/living-with-a-50-pdoom-liron-shapira","audio_url":"https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/204592854/5bbb0ca2ab649e92ea32776366b1e6d3.mp3","summary":"Peter Clarke ( Team Futurism ) invited me on his podcast to probe the worldview of a Yudkowskian, and I ended up explaining how my 50% P(Doom) and 10% P(Foom) informs my choices. Peter and I met at LessOnline 2026, where he was one of the participants in a live Jubilee-style debate about x-risk. This one’s a little tamer, but we still cover plenty of ground, like: Why nuclear risk is underrated yet AI doom overshadows it; Why nobody at AI summits is appropriately freaked out; How Yudkowsky’s data center “airstrike” claim gets mischaracterized; Why a superintelligence that doesn’t already value humanity won’t spare us; And the “Icarus curve”, my techno-optimist forecast pre-superintelligence. Subscribe to the Team Futurism podcast — https://www.youtube.com/@teamfuturism3554 Timestamps 00:00:00 — Welcoming Liron on Team Futurism 00:00:38 — How Liron Got Yudkowsky-Pilled 00:04:11 — AI 2027 and the Next Qualitative Breakthrough 00:05:52 — What’s Your P(Doom)? 00:10:22 — Why Isn’t Everyone Freaked Out? 00:13:09 — How Should We Then Live? 00:16:22 — Setting the Record Straight on Yudkowsky’s “Airstrike” Claims 00:20:54 — Two Doom Buckets: Misuse vs. Rogue AI 00:24:25 — The Bioweapon Kill Scenario 00:29:02 — The “Benevolent God” Cope 00:33:06 — Epistemology: What We’re Allowed to Know 00:40:08 — Dario’s Country of Geniuses in a Data Center 00:44:37 — The Icarus Curve 00:47:17 — Meaning and Purpose in the AI Era 00:49:32 — Wrap-Up Links Team Futurism on YouTube — https://www.youtube.com/@teamfuturism3554 Peter Clarke on X — https://x.com/heypeterclarke Liron vs. 9 Rationalists at LessOnline 2026 (the “Surrounded” debate with Peter) — https://lironshapira.substack.com/p/will-ai-actually-destroy-humanity AI 2027 — https://ai-2027.com/ “If Anyone Builds It, Everyone Dies” by Elie…","meta_description":"Peter Clarke ( Team Futurism ) invited me on his podcast to probe the worldview of a Yudkowskian, and I ended up explaining how my 50% P(Doom) and 10% P(F…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":2995,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/doom-debates-6934136/episodes/living-with-a-50-p-ai-doom-liron-shapira-and-peter-clarke/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/doom-debates-6934136/living-with-a-50-p-ai-doom-liron-shapira-and-peter-clarke.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}