{"podcast":{"title":"Doom Debates!","slug":"doom-debates-6934136","podcast_index_feed_id":6934136,"rss_url":"https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/1777870.rss","website_url":"https://lironshapira.substack.com/podcast","image_url":"https://substackcdn.com/feed/podcast/1777870/10d5e21d47152740410de1f6441ce8bb.jpg","author":"Liron Shapira","episode_count":177,"summary":"AI debates that must be resolved before the world ends","last_synced_at":"2026-07-30T10:18:31.431328+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/doom-debates-6934136"},"episode":{"title":"Justin Helps (⁨@Primer on YouTube) is Worried about AI Takeover","slug":"justin-helps-primer-on-youtube-is-worried-about-ai-takeover","published_at":"2026-04-30T17:00:00+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/doom-debates-6934136/justin-helps-primer-on-youtube-is-worried-about-ai-takeover","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/doom-debates-6934136","url":"https://lironshapira.substack.com/p/justin-helps-primer-on-youtube-is","audio_url":"https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/195968029/dd4115fd9b73e1128ed0f8eab2651b18.mp3","summary":"Justin Helps is the science educator behind ⁨Primer Learning with 2M subscribers. We cover how he got into AI safety, debate AGI timelines, and why he calculates p(doom) to be 70% by 2100 😱. Timestamps 00:00:00 — Cold Open 00:00:38 — Introducing Justin Helps 00:02:03 — What's Your P(Doom)?™ 00:03:38 — Justin's First Exposure to AI X-Risk 00:04:49 — Major Disagreements with Eliezer Yudkowsky 00:09:46 — Debating the Timeline to AGI 00:12:24 — Metaculus Prediction Market Estimates AGI by 2032 00:20:06 — Misguided Conceptions of AI's Limitations 00:25:23 — Only a 5% P(Doom) by 2040 00:28:40 — AIs Will Not Care About the Human Species 00:31:00 — Summarizing Justin's Position So Far 00:36:17 — High P(Doom), but We're Not Depressed 00:40:14 — Justin's \"Computer Man\" Thought Experiment 00:51:16 — Should We Pause AGI Development? 00:54:15 — AI Doom Is a Serious Concern Links Primer’s Video on AI Doom — https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Qg5QXY_qZuI Primer on YouTube — https://youtube.com/@PrimerBlobs Primer’s Website — https://primerlearning.org/ Justin Helps on X — https://x.com/Helpsypoo Harry Potter and the Methods of Rationality — https://hpmor.com/ Feeling Rational by Eliezer Yudkowsky — https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/SqF8cHjJv43mvJJzx/feeling-rational Pause AI — https://pauseai.info Doom Debates’ Mission is to raise mainstream awareness of imminent extinction from AGI and build the social infrastructure for high-quality debate. Support the mission by subscribing to my Substack at DoomDebates.com and to youtube.com/@DoomDebates , or to really take things to the next level: Donate 🙏 Get full access to Doom Debates at lironshapira.substack.com/subscribe","meta_description":"Justin Helps is the science educator behind ⁨Primer Learning with 2M subscribers. We cover how he got into AI safety, debate AGI timelines, and why he cal…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":3303,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/doom-debates-6934136/episodes/justin-helps-primer-on-youtube-is-worried-about-ai-takeover/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/doom-debates-6934136/justin-helps-primer-on-youtube-is-worried-about-ai-takeover.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}