{"podcast":{"title":"Charged Alpha Stock Encyclopedia","slug":"charged-alpha-stock-encyclopedia-7819792","podcast_index_feed_id":7819792,"rss_url":"https://feed.podbean.com/chargedalpha/feed.xml","website_url":"https://chargedalpha.podbean.com","image_url":"https://pbcdn1.podbean.com/imglogo/image-logo/22241603/charged_alpha_logo_2048.png","author":"Colton Thomas","episode_count":1630,"summary":"Charged Alpha reviews earnings for each stock in the Russel 1000 every quarter. Each podcast gives thorough analysis, along with an in-depth profile in the beginning of the episode of the company, what they do, how they earn money and what to look for.","last_synced_at":"2026-09-04T06:17:14.359815+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/charged-alpha-stock-encyclopedia-7819792"},"episode":{"title":"Mobileye Stock: A Double Beat, a Raised Guide — and a 15% Drop. Bargain or Trap?","slug":"mobileye-stock-a-double-beat-a-raised-guide-and-a-15-drop-bargain-or-trap","published_at":"2026-07-25T12:22:18+00:00","page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/charged-alpha-stock-encyclopedia-7819792/mobileye-stock-a-double-beat-a-raised-guide-and-a-15-drop-bargain-or-trap","show_page_url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/charged-alpha-stock-encyclopedia-7819792","url":"https://chargedalpha.podbean.com/e/mobileye-stock-a-double-beat-a-raised-guide-%e2%80%94-and-a-15-drop-bargain-or-trap/","audio_url":"https://mcdn.podbean.com/mf/web/sq5svd1wy2jvok94/audio_q.mp3","summary":"Mobileye Global (MBLY) Q2 2026 — Mobileye (MBLY), the dominant supplier of automotive vision (ADAS) chips, reported a Q2 2026 double beat: adjusted EPS of $0.19 crushed the ~$0.06 estimate and revenue of $508M beat ~$482M, with adjusted operating income +46% YoY to $155M (31% margin). But the stock FELL ~15%. Why? Revenue was flat YoY, GAAP was a small loss (~$0.03), and a one-time $93M Israeli R&D tax credit MORE than accounted for the entire operating-profit increase — core margin was ~12%, not 31%. Add a CEO transition (founder Amnon Shashua stepping aside to chairman), Intel's ~88% ownership overhang, ~$340M/yr of stock-based comp that nearly offsets the ~$390M TTM free cash flow, and a new, capital-intensive pivot to build its own robotaxi fleet (2027 launch). MBLY raised FY26 revenue guidance to ~$1.995B (+4-7%) and adj. operating income to $395M (includes the credit). With ~$1.44B net cash (~$1.76/share, zero debt) the balance sheet is a fortress, but real owner-earnings are near breakeven. On a reverse-DCF, the ~$5.1B enterprise value (~2.6x flat sales) prices in a wide range; our probability-weighted fair value is ~$8.50 vs ~$8.05 today. Our call: HOLD, 3/5 — a real beat, but flat and flattered. We're more cautious than the Street's ~$10.45 target (+30%). Mobileye (MBLY) is the eyes of the modern car — its EyeQ chips power the automatic braking and lane-keeping in ~200M vehicles, an estimated ~70% share of the driver-assist (ADAS) market across ~50 automakers (Intel still owns ~88%). Q2 2026 looked like a clean double beat: adjusted EPS $0.19 vs ~$0.06, revenue $508M beat ~$482M, adjusted operating income +46% to $155M at a 31% margin. Yet the stock DROPPED ~15%. The reason is in the fine print: revenue was flat YoY, GAAP was still a ~$0.03 loss, and a one…","meta_description":"Mobileye Global (MBLY) Q2 2026 — Mobileye (MBLY), the dominant supplier of automotive vision (ADAS) chips, reported a Q2 2026 double beat: adjusted EPS of…","key_points":[],"chapters":[],"topics":[],"duration_seconds":912,"processing_state":"not_requested","actions":[{"name":"request_transcript","method":"POST","url":"https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/charged-alpha-stock-encyclopedia-7819792/episodes/mobileye-stock-a-double-beat-a-raised-guide-and-a-15-drop-bargain-or-trap/transcription-requests","description":"Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode."},{"name":"read_markdown","method":"GET","url":"https://stenobird.com/podcast/charged-alpha-stock-encyclopedia-7819792/mobileye-stock-a-double-beat-a-raised-guide-and-a-15-drop-bargain-or-trap.md","description":"Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource."}]}}