# Is The Fed Lying About Inflation? | James Lavish Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/what-bitcoin-did-255500/is-the-fed-lying-about-inflation-james-lavish Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/what-bitcoin-did-255500/is-the-fed-lying-about-inflation-james-lavish.md Podcast: [What Bitcoin Did](https://stenobird.com/podcast/what-bitcoin-did-255500) Published: 2026-07-08T16:00:28+00:00 Episode link: https://fountain.fm/episode/VXdohpCM2wnzw5yPhwh7 Audio file: https://feeds.fountain.fm/UZSKQcrOnhqYS1JopxGg/items/EO12NEpLStnZAEdyVkse/files/AUDIO---DEFAULT---e63bd050-2753-41a7-a4de-5529d2f85422.mp3 Processing state: not_requested JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/what-bitcoin-did-255500/episodes/is-the-fed-lying-about-inflation-james-lavish Duration seconds: 3830 ## Resource "They will allow inflation to run hotter than they'll admit to." James Lavish is co-founder of the Bitcoin Opportunity Fund and author of The Informationist newsletter. In this episode, we discuss Kevin Warsh's first months as Fed chair and whether the Fed is about to change how it measures inflation. We get into the inflation task force, the trimmed mean PCE, why the 2% target was always arbitrary, and how the balance sheet is quietly expanding through treasury buybacks and QE light. We also cover credit card delinquencies hitting 2008 levels, the K-shaped economy, whether the Fed is hoping AI bails them out of the debt problem, the circular AI trade, and why James is confident Bitcoin will be back at all-time highs within 12 months. THANKS TO OUR SPONSORS: ANCHORWATCH BLOCKWARE LEDN BITKEY SWAN CAPE FOLLOW: Danny Knowles: https://x.com/\_DannyKnowles or https://primal.net/danny James Lavish: https://x.com/jameslavish ## Actions - request_transcript: `POST https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/what-bitcoin-did-255500/episodes/is-the-fed-lying-about-inflation-james-lavish/transcription-requests` — Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode. - read_markdown: `GET https://stenobird.com/podcast/what-bitcoin-did-255500/is-the-fed-lying-about-inflation-james-lavish.md` — Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource. A page view does not enqueue transcription. Agents should invoke `request_transcript` explicitly when they need this episode processed. ## Transcript Full transcripts are not published on public pages unless there is a clear rights basis.