# Surprise: Iran Another Neocon Disaster, with Dave Smith | Tom Woods Show #2782 Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/tomwoodstv-6654460/surprise-iran-another-neocon-disaster-with-dave-smith-tom-woods-show-2782 Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/tomwoodstv-6654460/surprise-iran-another-neocon-disaster-with-dave-smith-tom-woods-show-2782.md Podcast: [TomWoodsTV](https://stenobird.com/podcast/tomwoodstv-6654460) Published: 2026-07-30T01:00:16+00:00 Episode link: https://vigilante.tv/w/6psfQfSGVw2ZyPoJFtHy8L Audio file: https://vigilante.tv/static/streaming-playlists/hls/2bc3fb0d-8333-4736-a73f-4995598c8b3a/600a0610-c20f-4b1d-8496-f3d9972920bc-360-fragmented.mp4 Processing state: not_requested JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/tomwoodstv-6654460/episodes/surprise-iran-another-neocon-disaster-with-dave-smith-tom-woods-show-2782 Duration seconds: 4066 ## Resource The great Dave Smith talks about the Iran war, the problems, and what 2028 might look like. Tom and Dave go deep on one of the most predictable disasters in recent American foreign policy — the Iran war. How did it start? Why did it fail? And who was really driving it? In this episode they break down the full arc: from Netanyahu and Mossad's White House pitch, to Trump launching a war that no senior American official actually endorsed, to the desperate ceasefire attempts and the Memorandum of Understanding that sent hawks into a frenzy — and then back to war again. Dave deploys his now-legendary "Junior Mint" theory to explain the one missing piece in US-Israeli relations that no amount of analysis can fully account for. Topics covered: - Laura Loomer's stunning flip on Ukraine — and what it reveals about the right-wing civil war between Tucker Carlson's non-interventionism and the Mark Levin's of the world - Why neocons always feign certainty, always launch the war, always watch it become a catastrophe, and always demand you double down - The New York Times' bombshell report: did Netanyahu and Mossad convince Trump to launch a war that his own team thought was "farcical"? - Trump's two ceasefire bids — the 10-point Iranian framework and the MOU — and why the hawks killed both of them - US missile stockpiles depleting as Iran refuses to break: the military reality that forced a pause - Did Trump make secret pledges to Miriam Adelson and major donors before the 2024 election? What would that mean for how we read everything since? - The blackmail and leverage theories: why does something always seem to be "missing" from the official explanation of US-Israeli decision-making? - The Clean Break Memo, Norman Podhor… ## Actions - request_transcript: `POST https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/tomwoodstv-6654460/episodes/surprise-iran-another-neocon-disaster-with-dave-smith-tom-woods-show-2782/transcription-requests` — Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode. - read_markdown: `GET https://stenobird.com/podcast/tomwoodstv-6654460/surprise-iran-another-neocon-disaster-with-dave-smith-tom-woods-show-2782.md` — Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource. A page view does not enqueue transcription. Agents should invoke `request_transcript` explicitly when they need this episode processed. ## Transcript Full transcripts are not published on public pages unless there is a clear rights basis.