# EP #52: Overconfidence: The Silent Killer (What Research Says About it and why it matters)

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-spmi-podcast-452260/ep-52-overconfidence-the-silent-killer-what-research-says-about-it-and-why-it-matters
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-spmi-podcast-452260/ep-52-overconfidence-the-silent-killer-what-research-says-about-it-and-why-it-matters.md
Podcast: [The SPMI Podcast](https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-spmi-podcast-452260)
Published: 2026-05-30T20:27:39+00:00
Episode link: https://the-mindset-of-setting-goals.simplecast.com/episodes/overconfidence-is-the-silent-killer-what-research-says-about-overconfidence-and-why-it-matters-adSdmZao
Audio file: https://cdn.simplecast.com/media/audio/transcoded/4d765e25-8cae-41d5-bc6c-a153044263af/5581077e-40ba-4956-9ba4-df631587ddd1/episodes/audio/group/202507e3-96e6-4011-8c8e-3417cb119dbc/group-item/31f0d76d-2554-4a86-9711-e2a7a601991e/128_default_tc.mp3?aid=rss_feed&feed=5jVfBczc
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Duration seconds: 2420

## Resource

In this episode, Patrick Alban discusses overconfidence in athletes and explains that it is not about being too positive, but about having high confidence without enough preparation. He argues that many athletes fall into this trap after a strong performance, when they begin easing off the habits and routines that created their success in the first place. He draws on research showing that overconfidence is a common cognitive bias and that both too little confidence and too much confidence can hurt performance. The goal is to find the right balance, where athletes stay confident while still humble, self-aware, and committed to preparation. Patrick also outlines practical solutions, including focusing on process over outcomes, using honest feedback and objective metrics, developing a growth mindset, and building what he calls unconscious confidence—a deep, automatic belief rooted in strong preparation. He closes by encouraging athletes to use the summer as a major opportunity for disciplined growth.

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## Transcript

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