# Two Economies, One America: How AI Is Driving Growth While Small Businesses Collapse

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-pomp-letter-3932923/two-economies-one-america-how-ai-is-driving-growth-while-small-businesses-collapse
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-pomp-letter-3932923/two-economies-one-america-how-ai-is-driving-growth-while-small-businesses-collapse.md
Podcast: [The Pomp Letter](https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-pomp-letter-3932923)
Published: 2025-12-10T15:13:09+00:00
Episode link: https://pomp.substack.com/p/two-economies-one-america-how-ai
Audio file: https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/181237853/f485f9a304a7829a9ebf0e2751648b66.mp3
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JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-pomp-letter-3932923/episodes/two-economies-one-america-how-ai-is-driving-growth-while-small-businesses-collapse
Duration seconds: 191

## Resource

Today’s Letter is brought to you by Arch Public ! Unlock unparalleled returns with Arch Public’s algorithmic trading tools. Our Bitcoin Algorithm Arbitrage Strategy has delivered an astounding 247% annual return over the past three years. The entries, and exits speak for themselves; precision that drives success. Trusted by more than 15,000 customers and industry leaders, we’ve partnered with Gemini, Kraken, Coinbase and Robinhood to bring you cutting-edge solutions. Whether you’re a seasoned investor or just starting, our proven strategies maximize your potential. Join the ranks of those who trust Arch Public to navigate the markets with confidence. Talk to us today and discover why our expertise sets us apart. To Investors, The American economy is booming. At least that is what the GDP numbers are telling us. US GDP grew 3.8% year-over-year in Q2 and the Atlanta Fed is estimating Q3 growth to be between 3.5% - 3.8%. Historical context is important to understand the magnitude of these numbers. The average GDP growth for countries around the world is approximately 2.9% and the United States has outperformed for the last 80 years by growing GDP on average 3.2% annually from 1947 to 2025. So what is driving the good times right now? The answer is very simple: artificial intelligence. Adam Kobeissi shows that approximately 63% of all GDP growth is coming from AI-related spending. This means that without the AI CAPEX boom, the US economy would be in a significantly worse position. This AI-related spending can be best visualized by looking at data center spending since 2020. Kobeissi writes “spending on data centers in the US has tripled since the release of ChatGPT in November 2022. Spending on structures excluding data centers is down ~20% since the 2023 high. The strengt…

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