# MRP 307: Will the Price of Oil Fall Below $50 in 2026? What It Means for Your Royalty Income

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-mineral-rights-podcast-mineral-rights-royalties-oil-and-gas-matt-sands-1143529/mrp-307-will-the-price-of-oil-fall-below-50-in-2026-what-it-means-for-your-royalty-income
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Podcast: [The Mineral Rights Podcast: Mineral Rights | Royalties | Oil and Gas | Matt Sands](https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-mineral-rights-podcast-mineral-rights-royalties-oil-and-gas-matt-sands-1143529)
Published: 2025-11-13T12:00:00+00:00
Episode link: https://mineralrightspodcast.com/mrp-307-will-the-price-of-oil-fall-below-50-in-2026-what-it-means-for-your-royalty-income/
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Duration seconds: 2576

## Resource

In this episode, we dive into what is driving the recent downward pressure on oil prices. The Energy Information Administration released their October short-term energy outlook with a projection that caught our attention. They're forecasting that oil prices could fall to $47.77 per barrel in 2026—a 26% decrease from recent levels. That price sits below the $50 per barrel mark that industry analysts often cite as a critical breakeven point for shale profitability. For those of us who own mineral rights or receive royalty payments, this forecast has real implications worth understanding. Be sure to listen to the full episode to learn our take on what oil prices are likely to do in 2026 and how this could impact future drilling and your oil royalties. As always, links to the resources mentioned in this episode can be found in the show notes at mineralrightspodcast.com .

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