# TIP813: Microsoft (MSFT): Is Microsoft a Misunderstood AI Opportunity? w/ Daniel Mahncke & Shawn O’Malley Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-investor-s-podcast-we-study-billionaires-the-investor-s-podcast-network-793331/tip813-microsoft-msft-is-microsoft-a-misunderstood-ai-opportunity-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-o-malley Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-investor-s-podcast-we-study-billionaires-the-investor-s-podcast-network-793331/tip813-microsoft-msft-is-microsoft-a-misunderstood-ai-opportunity-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-o-malley.md Podcast: [The Investor's Podcast (We Study Billionaires) - The Investor’s Podcast Network](https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-investor-s-podcast-we-study-billionaires-the-investor-s-podcast-network-793331) Published: 2026-05-07T00:00:00+00:00 Episode link: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/PPLLC1405660251.mp3?updated=1778060205 Audio file: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/PPLLC1405660251.mp3?updated=1778060205 Processing state: not_requested JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-investor-s-podcast-we-study-billionaires-the-investor-s-podcast-network-793331/episodes/tip813-microsoft-msft-is-microsoft-a-misunderstood-ai-opportunity-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-o-malley Duration seconds: 5614 ## Resource Daniel Mahncke and Shawn O'Malley take a deep dive into Microsoft — the $3 trillion incumbent whose entire investment thesis now hinges on two of the most contested questions in technology: whether AI will reinforce or quietly dismantle the software franchises that built the company, and whether the OpenAI partnership is the strategic masterstroke it appeared to be in 2023, or a relationship that is slowly turning from asset into liability. IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: (00:00:00) Intro (00:01:27) About all major business units (00:12:05) How LinkedIn’s business works (00:18:24) How the cloud business keeps growing (00:21:17) What the future plans for gaming are (00:24:49) Why the Office products might be in danger (00:50:52) How AI is challenging Microsoft’s software (00:55:10) Who captures the most value from AI (01:22:46) Whether Shawn and Daniel add MSFT to the Intrinsic Value Portfolio Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠TIP Mastermind Community⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Microsoft ⁠⁠Investor Relations⁠⁠. World Economic Forum ⁠⁠Interview with CEO⁠⁠. Follow Daniel on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠X⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Linkedin⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Follow Shawn on ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠X⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ and ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Linkedin⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Related ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠books⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠ mentioned in the podcast. Ad-free episodes on our ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠Premium Feed⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. NEW TO THE SHOW? Get smarter about valuing businesses through ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠… ## Actions - request_transcript: `POST https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-investor-s-podcast-we-study-billionaires-the-investor-s-podcast-network-793331/episodes/tip813-microsoft-msft-is-microsoft-a-misunderstood-ai-opportunity-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-o-malley/transcription-requests` — Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode. - read_markdown: `GET https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-investor-s-podcast-we-study-billionaires-the-investor-s-podcast-network-793331/tip813-microsoft-msft-is-microsoft-a-misunderstood-ai-opportunity-w-daniel-mahncke-shawn-o-malley.md` — Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource. A page view does not enqueue transcription. Agents should invoke `request_transcript` explicitly when they need this episode processed. ## Transcript Full transcripts are not published on public pages unless there is a clear rights basis.