# TIVP083 (Video): SpaceX (SPCX): Is It Really Worth $2 Trillion Dollars? w/ Kyle Grieve and Shawn O'Malley

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-intrinsic-value-podcast-the-investor-s-podcast-network-786362/tivp083-video-spacex-spcx-is-it-really-worth-2-trillion-dollars-w-kyle-grieve-and-shawn-o-malley
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-intrinsic-value-podcast-the-investor-s-podcast-network-786362/tivp083-video-spacex-spcx-is-it-really-worth-2-trillion-dollars-w-kyle-grieve-and-shawn-o-malley.md
Podcast: [The Intrinsic Value Podcast - The Investor’s Podcast Network](https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-intrinsic-value-podcast-the-investor-s-podcast-network-786362)
Published: 2026-07-15T09:00:00+00:00
Episode link: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/PPLLC8211134051.mp3
Audio file: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/traffic.megaphone.fm/PPLLC8211134051.mp3
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JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-intrinsic-value-podcast-the-investor-s-podcast-network-786362/episodes/tivp083-video-spacex-spcx-is-it-really-worth-2-trillion-dollars-w-kyle-grieve-and-shawn-o-malley
Duration seconds: 4552

## Resource

Kyle Grieve and Shawn O’Malley analyze SpaceX's blockbuster 2026 IPO, dissecting the company's three segments: Space, Connectivity, and AI. They’ll also look at its history, moats, capital allocation, debt, and incentive structure. They’ll stress-test SpaceX's aggressive $28.5 trillion total addressable market claim and walk through the key risks facing the business, from key-man dependence to regulatory exposure.  IN THIS EPISODE YOU’LL LEARN: (00:00:00) Intro (00:06:28) How Elon Musk's early rocket failures almost sank SpaceX (00:08:11) How Space, Connectivity, and AI segments actually work (00:10:38) Why reusable rockets are reshaping launch economics (00:12:00) Whether the AI segment is worrisome (00:32:54) What's really driving Connectivity's improving margins (00:34:19) How to think about SpaceX's R&D and capital spending (00:42:00) Why SpaceX's debt picture is more nuanced than it looks (00:47:41) How Musk's pay package ties to Mars and market cap benchmarks (00:51:33) What risks could derail the SpaceX growth story (00:59:27) Why its claimed market opportunity may be overstated (01:05:28) Whether SpaceX's valuation can be justified by the numbers (01:09:08) Intrinsic Value of SpaceX (01:10:59) Whether Kyle and Shawn will add SpaceX to the Intrinsic Value Portfolio Disclaimer: Slight discrepancies in the timestamps may occur due to podcast platform differences. BOOKS AND RESOURCES Join the exclusive ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Intrinsic Value Mastermind Community⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Track ⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠The Intrinsic Value Portfolio⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠⁠. Lear…

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