# Why the Fed Is Watching the Yield Curve Uninversion Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-federal-reserve-podcast-with-fexingo-interest-rates-fomc-meetings-and-monetary-policy-7871696/why-the-fed-is-watching-the-yield-curve-uninversion Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-federal-reserve-podcast-with-fexingo-interest-rates-fomc-meetings-and-monetary-policy-7871696/why-the-fed-is-watching-the-yield-curve-uninversion.md Podcast: [The Federal Reserve Podcast with Fexingo: Interest Rates, FOMC Meetings, and Monetary Policy](https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-federal-reserve-podcast-with-fexingo-interest-rates-fomc-meetings-and-monetary-policy-7871696) Published: 2026-06-17T17:37:16+00:00 Episode link: https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-federal-reserve-podcast/episode-0058.mp3 Audio file: https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-federal-reserve-podcast/episode-0058.mp3 Processing state: not_requested JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-federal-reserve-podcast-with-fexingo-interest-rates-fomc-meetings-and-monetary-policy-7871696/episodes/why-the-fed-is-watching-the-yield-curve-uninversion Duration seconds: 535 ## Resource Episode 58 of The Federal Reserve Podcast with Fexingo: Lucas and Luna drill into the yield curve's recent uninversion after two years inverted. They break down what the shift from 4.43% on the ten-year to 3.63% on the two-year actually signals for recession risk, bank lending, and Fed policy. With the S&P 500 near 7,500 and markets pricing rate cuts, the hosts ask whether the curve is finally normalizing or just sending a delayed warning. Packed with specific data points and anchored to the latest FOMC thinking, this episode connects the dots between the curve, the neutral rate, and the economy's surprising resilience. #YieldCurve #Uninversion #FederalReserve #FOMC #MonetaryPolicy #RecessionSignal #TenYearTreasury #TwoYearTreasury #SOFR #NeutralRate #Inflation #BasisPoints #May2026 #Economics #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #Podcast #LucasAndLuna Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo ## Actions - request_transcript: `POST https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-federal-reserve-podcast-with-fexingo-interest-rates-fomc-meetings-and-monetary-policy-7871696/episodes/why-the-fed-is-watching-the-yield-curve-uninversion/transcription-requests` — Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode. - read_markdown: `GET https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-federal-reserve-podcast-with-fexingo-interest-rates-fomc-meetings-and-monetary-policy-7871696/why-the-fed-is-watching-the-yield-curve-uninversion.md` — Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource. A page view does not enqueue transcription. Agents should invoke `request_transcript` explicitly when they need this episode processed. ## Transcript Full transcripts are not published on public pages unless there is a clear rights basis.