# Prediction Markets Provide Signal Amid Chaos In California Governor's Race Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-event-horizon-podcast-7687259/prediction-markets-provide-signal-amid-chaos-in-california-governor-s-race Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-event-horizon-podcast-7687259/prediction-markets-provide-signal-amid-chaos-in-california-governor-s-race.md Podcast: [The Event Horizon Podcast](https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-event-horizon-podcast-7687259) Published: 2026-04-13T11:00:00+00:00 Episode link: https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/prediction-markets-provide-signal-california-governor Audio file: https://api.substack.com/feed/podcast/193990325/5d32cdc4497c9d964f25b8f8464ced3a.mp3 Processing state: not_requested JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-event-horizon-podcast-7687259/episodes/prediction-markets-provide-signal-amid-chaos-in-california-governor-s-race Duration seconds: 3116 ## Resource Fox + Kalshi…but no elections? https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/fox-news-has-a-kalshi-deal White House warns people not to insider trade on PMs https://www.wsj.com/politics/policy/white-house-warns-staff-not-to-place-bets-on-prediction-markets-amid-iran-war-3780668f NCAA is big for Kalshi https://www.ingame.com/2026-ncaa-tournament-volume-fees-kalshi/ $1.1 trillion for PMs? https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2026-04-09/bofa-sees-a-1-1-trillion-market-for-sports-event-betting-in-us?taid=69d7b3615fcb6f0001a6e7f6&utm_campaign=trueanthem&utm_content=business&utm_medium=social&utm_source=twitter Kalshi wins in NJ https://nexteventhorizon.substack.com/p/news-kalshi-wins-appeal-vs-new-jersey WTF is going on in Arizona https://www.ingame.com/federal-court-arizona-injunction-act/ This is a public episode. If you would like to discuss this with other subscribers or get access to bonus episodes, visit nexteventhorizon.substack.com ## Actions - request_transcript: `POST https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-event-horizon-podcast-7687259/episodes/prediction-markets-provide-signal-amid-chaos-in-california-governor-s-race/transcription-requests` — Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode. - read_markdown: `GET https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-event-horizon-podcast-7687259/prediction-markets-provide-signal-amid-chaos-in-california-governor-s-race.md` — Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource. A page view does not enqueue transcription. Agents should invoke `request_transcript` explicitly when they need this episode processed. ## Transcript Full transcripts are not published on public pages unless there is a clear rights basis.