# Why the Fed Funds Rate Stays Flat While the Economy Shifts Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/why-the-fed-funds-rate-stays-flat-while-the-economy-shifts Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/why-the-fed-funds-rate-stays-flat-while-the-economy-shifts.md Podcast: [The Economic Forecast Podcast with Fexingo: Predictions, Outlooks, and What's Coming Next](https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824) Published: 2026-07-17T20:16:17+00:00 Episode link: https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/episode-0117.mp3 Audio file: https://audio.fexingo.com/business/the-economic-forecast-podcast/episode-0117.mp3 Processing state: not_requested JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/episodes/why-the-fed-funds-rate-stays-flat-while-the-economy-shifts Duration seconds: 478 ## Resource On this episode of The Economic Forecast Podcast, Lucas and Luna dig into the Fed funds effective rate, which has held steady at 3.63 percent since April 2026, even as other parts of the economy show clear movement. They explore why the Fed is keeping the interest on reserve balances at 3.65 percent while inflation cools, wholesale prices drop, and the labor market tightens. The conversation covers the messaging challenge the Fed faces: if the economy is softening, why isn't the rate coming down? And if it's still strong, why did the PPI decline point to disinflation? They also look at how import prices, especially from China, are creating a counter-narrative. The hosts connect these dots to what it means for borrowers, savers, and investors in late July 2026. A tight, data-driven episode that helps listeners understand the current policy standoff and what might break the stalemate. #FedFundsRate #FederalReserve #InterestOnReserves #MonetaryPolicy #CPI #PPI #Inflation #ImportPrices #ChinaTrade #Disinflation #LaborMarket #JoblessClaims #WageGrowth #Economics #EconomicForecast #FexingoBusiness #BusinessPodcast #MacroEconomics Keep every episode free: buymeacoffee.com/fexingo ## Actions - request_transcript: `POST https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/episodes/why-the-fed-funds-rate-stays-flat-while-the-economy-shifts/transcription-requests` — Idempotently request low-priority transcript generation for this episode. - read_markdown: `GET https://stenobird.com/podcast/the-economic-forecast-podcast-with-fexingo-predictions-outlooks-and-what-s-coming-next-7871824/why-the-fed-funds-rate-stays-flat-while-the-economy-shifts.md` — Read the agent-friendly Markdown representation of this episode resource. A page view does not enqueue transcription. Agents should invoke `request_transcript` explicitly when they need this episode processed. ## Transcript Full transcripts are not published on public pages unless there is a clear rights basis.