# What I Bet - Tuesday July 14th

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/straight-outta-vegas-am-5721763/what-i-bet-tuesday-july-14th
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/straight-outta-vegas-am-5721763/what-i-bet-tuesday-july-14th.md
Podcast: [Straight Outta Vegas AM](https://stenobird.com/podcast/straight-outta-vegas-am-5721763)
Published: 2026-07-14T06:41:00+00:00
Episode link: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/pscrb.fm/rss/p/traffic.megaphone.fm/MMCAR9033364712.mp3
Audio file: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/pscrb.fm/rss/p/traffic.megaphone.fm/MMCAR9033364712.mp3
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JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/straight-outta-vegas-am-5721763/episodes/what-i-bet-tuesday-july-14th
Duration seconds: 650

## Resource

Griffin Warner talks sports betting for Tuesday. Griffin Warner delivers a leaner but sharp episode of What I Bet built around the only two events worth betting on this Tuesday, the World Cup semifinal between Spain and France at AT&T Stadium in Arlington and the Major League Baseball All Star Game at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia. Griffin opens at 0:32 by setting the stage for Spain and France, two nations that entered the tournament as co favorites at 5 to 1 odds as of July 3rd but have since diverged, with France now installed as the clear favorite needing a win in regulation to cover the spread. At 1:17 Griffin lays out his case for Spain, arguing that their possession based style works identically whether they are favored or underdogs, a trait he considers rare in knockout soccer, and noting the team is getting healthier at the right time. At 1:33 he acknowledges France's individual talent, led by Kylian Mbappe and Ousmane Dembele, both of whom scored from outside the box in a 2 to 0 quarterfinal win over Morocco discussed at 2:03, while questioning whether longtime manager Didier Deschamps offers much beyond simply fielding the more talented roster. By 2:18 Griffin lands on his headline soccer pick, backing Spain as a quarter goal underdog and urging listeners to grab the number immediately before it shifts, explaining that the quarter goal split between a pick em portion and a plus one half portion protects bettors with a partial cash return if the match extends into extra time, which he expects given Spain's discipline defending against counterattacks. At 2:48 he shares his lean on the two and a half goal total, expecting the public to favor the over given the star power on both rosters while he sees a low scoring, controlled match shaping up instead,…

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## Transcript

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