# What I Bet - Thursday July 23rd

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/straight-outta-vegas-am-5721763/what-i-bet-thursday-july-23rd
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/straight-outta-vegas-am-5721763/what-i-bet-thursday-july-23rd.md
Podcast: [Straight Outta Vegas AM](https://stenobird.com/podcast/straight-outta-vegas-am-5721763)
Published: 2026-07-23T05:16:00+00:00
Episode link: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/pscrb.fm/rss/p/traffic.megaphone.fm/MMCAR5598697895.mp3
Audio file: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/pscrb.fm/rss/p/traffic.megaphone.fm/MMCAR5598697895.mp3
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JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/straight-outta-vegas-am-5721763/episodes/what-i-bet-thursday-july-23rd
Duration seconds: 1026

## Resource

Griffin Warner talks betting for Thursday. Griffin Warner returns for episode 69 of What I Bet with a full breakdown of the Thursday, July 23rd Major League Baseball card, working through five games, sharp line movement, and a final best bet before first pitch. He opens by checking in on a hot recent stretch of picks, sitting at 6 and 2 in the last 8, 8 and 3 in the last 11, and 11 and 5 in the last 16, fueled in part by Kansas City's dramatic comeback sweep of the San Francisco Giants earlier in the week. From there, at 1 46, Griffin turns to San Diego at Atlanta, where Griffin Canning faces Chris Sale in an early getaway day start, and he tracks San Diego drifting from around plus 193 out to plus 204 while the total sits at 8 and leans toward the under. He explains why a thin Padres offense paired with a strong bullpen makes the run line at plus 1 and a half more appealing than the total, touches on trade chatter involving Mason Miller, and references Xander Bogaerts hitting eighth in Monday's lineup as a sign of how limited San Diego's lineup currently is. At 4 33, the show shifts to Minnesota at Cleveland, where the Guardians moved from around minus 117 to as high as minus 144 after Jose Ramirez returned and Byron Buxton and Ryan Jeffers were given rest, and Griffin lays out why the under, both in the full game at 8 and in the first five innings at 4 and a half, is his favorite angle on the board given a rested Minnesota bullpen and a Cleveland lineup that isn't built to hit the ball out of the park in bunches. At 7 05, he previews Tampa Bay at Toronto, questioning whether Shane Bieber is really back to form after a serious arm injury even as the price on the Rays creeps from minus 103 toward minus 101, and he says he still views Tampa Bay as the better team even w…

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## Transcript

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