# What I Bet - Thursday April 30th

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/straight-outta-vegas-am-5721763/what-i-bet-thursday-april-30th
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/straight-outta-vegas-am-5721763/what-i-bet-thursday-april-30th.md
Podcast: [Straight Outta Vegas AM](https://stenobird.com/podcast/straight-outta-vegas-am-5721763)
Published: 2026-04-30T06:31:00+00:00
Episode link: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/pscrb.fm/rss/p/claritaspod.com/measure/prfx.byspotify.com/e/mgln.ai/e/796/traffic.megaphone.fm/GEMINIMEDIA4525032842.mp3
Audio file: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/pscrb.fm/rss/p/claritaspod.com/measure/prfx.byspotify.com/e/mgln.ai/e/796/traffic.megaphone.fm/GEMINIMEDIA4525032842.mp3
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JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/straight-outta-vegas-am-5721763/episodes/what-i-bet-thursday-april-30th
Duration seconds: 809

## Resource

Griffin Warner talks betting for Thursday. Griffin Warner returns for Episode 33 of What I Bet with a full Thursday betting card breakdown across Major League Baseball and the Stanley Cup Playoffs. The show opens with a quick look back at a winning Chicago Cubs underdog pick before moving into a busy MLB slate led by Detroit at Atlanta, where Framber Valdez as a plus money underdog against Bryce Elder immediately catches Griffin’s attention. The Braves have been dangerous offensively, with Ronald Acuña Jr. heating up and the bullpen holding together better than expected after Raisel Iglesias went on the injured list, but Detroit’s matchup still creates value because Griffin likes backing Framber Valdez in underdog roles. From there, the card shifts to St. Louis at Pittsburgh, where Hunter Dobbins faces Paul Skenes and the under becomes the main question if Dobbins can do enough to support the low total. Houston at Baltimore brings Peter Lambert against Chris Bassitt, and Griffin points to Bassitt’s struggles, Houston’s strong hitting, and the Astros’ pitching problems as reasons over nine could be live. Colorado at Cincinnati gives Andrew Abbott another important test against the Rockies, with Griffin noting that Cincinnati has not yet played in the kind of heat that can punish a fly ball pitcher. Washington at the New York Mets becomes a run line discussion, as Griffin is not eager to lay a big price with the Mets and instead finds Washington plus one and a half runs more interesting with Miles Mikolas facing Freddy Peralta. The strongest MLB position comes in Arizona at Milwaukee, where Michael Soroka faces Brandon Woodruff. Griffin likes the Brewers at minus 120, pointing to Woodruff’s improved control, Soroka’s durability concerns, and Arizona’s early body clock sp…

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