# From economist to World Cup oracle — Joachim Klement on statistics, soccer and the limits of predictability - Vom Ökonomen zum WM-Orakel – Joachim Klement über Statistik, Fußball und die Grenzen der Vorhersagbarkeit

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/sbs-german-sbs-deutsch-391041/from-economist-to-world-cup-oracle-joachim-klement-on-statistics-soccer-and-the-limits-of-predictability-vom-konomen-zum-wm-orakel-joachim-klement-ber-statistik-fu-ball-und-die-grenzen-der-vorhersagbarkeit
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/sbs-german-sbs-deutsch-391041/from-economist-to-world-cup-oracle-joachim-klement-on-statistics-soccer-and-the-limits-of-predictability-vom-konomen-zum-wm-orakel-joachim-klement-ber-statistik-fu-ball-und-die-grenzen-der-vorhersagbarkeit.md
Podcast: [SBS German - SBS Deutsch](https://stenobird.com/podcast/sbs-german-sbs-deutsch-391041)
Published: 2026-06-09T09:15:00+00:00
Episode link: https://www.sbs.com.au/language/german/de/podcast-episode/vom-okonomen-zum-wm-orakel-joachim-klement-uber-statistik-fußball-und-die-grenzen-der-vorhersagbarkeit/69ptl06zo
Audio file: https://sbs-podcast.streamguys1.com/wm-talk-bei-sbs-german/20260609191603-german-29612ea2-f70e-4ee7-81b5-4a0862d5a9cc.mp3?awCollectionId=sbs-german&awGenre=News&awEpisodeId=0000019e-aba6-dbe1-a9fe-ffbe47130000&dur_cat=3
Processing state: not_requested
JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/sbs-german-sbs-deutsch-391041/episodes/from-economist-to-world-cup-oracle-joachim-klement-on-statistics-soccer-and-the-limits-of-predictability-vom-konomen-zum-wm-orakel-joachim-klement-ber-statistik-fu-ball-und-die-grenzen-der-vorhersagbarkeit
Duration seconds: 941

## Resource

Economist Joachim Klement originally just wanted to show how absurd it is to predict soccer World Cup winners using statistical models. But then he was right three times in a row with his world champion prediction. In an interview, he explains how economic data and probabilities flow into his analyses, why soccer is still never completely predictable and why luck often remains just as important as any statistics. - Eigentlich wollte der Ökonom Joachim Klement nur zeigen, wie absurd es ist, Fußball-Weltmeisterschaften mit statistischen Modellen vorherzusagen. Doch dann lag er mit seiner Weltmeisterprognose dreimal in Folge richtig. Im Gespräch erklärt er, wie Wirtschaftsdaten und Wahrscheinlichkeiten in seine Analysen einfließen, warum Fußball trotzdem nie vollständig berechenbar ist und weshalb Glück oft genauso wichtig bleibt wie jede Statistik.

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