# The Markets Just Called BS on AOC's Surging Poll Numbers

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462/the-markets-just-called-bs-on-aoc-s-surging-poll-numbers
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462/the-markets-just-called-bs-on-aoc-s-surging-poll-numbers.md
Podcast: [Predictable with Stu Burguiere](https://stenobird.com/podcast/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462)
Published: 2026-05-13T22:00:00+00:00
Episode link: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/pfx.vpixl.com/4V6da/arttrk.com/p/BLZM1/verifi.podscribe.com/rss/p/mgln.ai/e/285/pscrb.fm/rss/p/prfx.byspotify.com/e/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.megaphone.fm/RSV8630993111.mp3
Audio file: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/pfx.vpixl.com/4V6da/arttrk.com/p/BLZM1/verifi.podscribe.com/rss/p/mgln.ai/e/285/pscrb.fm/rss/p/prfx.byspotify.com/e/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.megaphone.fm/RSV8630993111.mp3
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JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462/episodes/the-markets-just-called-bs-on-aoc-s-surging-poll-numbers
Duration seconds: 2781

## Resource

AOC just got one of the biggest 2028 polling headlines yet… but prediction markets barely reacted at all. On today’s Predictable, Stu breaks down why the media may be dramatically overreacting to the latest AOC surge poll — and why traders with actual money on the line don’t seem convinced. Stu digs into the sampling behind the poll, the growing “President AOC?” narrative, and what the Kalshi and Polymarket odds are really signaling about the Democratic field. If the poll was truly a game changer… why didn’t the market move? Plus: AOC’s viral comments about billionaires and “earning” wealth Her eyebrow-raising answer about a possible White House run The latest 2028 Democratic nominee odds Polymarket officially goes fully live in the U.S. And the bizarre anti-Spencer Pratt ad that may actually HELP him The headlines say one thing. The markets may be telling a very different story. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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## Transcript

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