# 'Lies': Stu Responds to Critics

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462/lies-stu-responds-to-critics
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462/lies-stu-responds-to-critics.md
Podcast: [Predictable with Stu Burguiere](https://stenobird.com/podcast/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462)
Published: 2026-05-12T22:57:00+00:00
Episode link: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/pfx.vpixl.com/4V6da/arttrk.com/p/BLZM1/verifi.podscribe.com/rss/p/mgln.ai/e/285/pscrb.fm/rss/p/prfx.byspotify.com/e/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.megaphone.fm/RSV5293272082.mp3?updated=1778627083
Audio file: https://www.podtrac.com/pts/redirect.mp3/pdst.fm/e/pfx.vpixl.com/4V6da/arttrk.com/p/BLZM1/verifi.podscribe.com/rss/p/mgln.ai/e/285/pscrb.fm/rss/p/prfx.byspotify.com/e/claritaspod.com/measure/traffic.megaphone.fm/RSV5293272082.mp3?updated=1778627083
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JSON: https://stenobird.com/v1/public/podcasts/predictable-with-stu-burguiere-22462/episodes/lies-stu-responds-to-critics
Duration seconds: 2949

## Resource

What’s the difference between insider trading and informed trading? Stu responds to the mounting number of lies in the media and politics about prediction markets. And when it comes to prediction markets, is the line a lot blurrier than politicians and the media want to admit? On today’s Predictable with Stu Burguiere, Stu breaks down the growing controversy around campaign staffers, political insiders, and prediction market traders cashing in on information advantages during election season. Is this corruption? Or is this exactly how markets are supposed to work? From the NPR report raising eyebrows in Washington to the Senate quietly moving to ban lawmakers from participating in prediction markets, Stu explains why incentives matter more than headlines — and why markets often reveal the truth long before the media does. Plus: Why prediction markets may actually reward transparency The uncomfortable comparison between Congress and market traders The difference between “having information” and illegal insider trading Why some of the loudest critics of prediction markets may have the most to lose Predictable with Stu Burguiere is a smarter way to follow the news. We break down the biggest stories using prediction markets to show what’s actually likely to happen, not just what people are saying. Understand the incentives. Spot the mispricing. Take a position. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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## Transcript

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