# The Largest Oil Supply Shock in History: Inside the Strait of Hormuz Crisis | Helima Croft

Page: https://stenobird.com/podcast/one-decision-4241287/the-largest-oil-supply-shock-in-history-inside-the-strait-of-hormuz-crisis-helima-croft
Text version: https://stenobird.com/podcast/one-decision-4241287/the-largest-oil-supply-shock-in-history-inside-the-strait-of-hormuz-crisis-helima-croft.md
Podcast: [One Decision](https://stenobird.com/podcast/one-decision-4241287)
Published: 2026-03-19T17:42:00+00:00
Episode link: https://pdrl.fm/8d0c8d/traffic.megaphone.fm/LNM4514162229.mp3?updated=1773884345
Audio file: https://pdrl.fm/8d0c8d/traffic.megaphone.fm/LNM4514162229.mp3?updated=1773884345
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Duration seconds: 2273

## Resource

The Strait of Hormuz is in a chokehold. The scale of this oil supply disruption has already exceeded the shocks of the 1970s. Sir Richard Dearlove and Rosanna Lockwood sit down with Helima Croft, Managing Director and Head of Global Commodity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets and former senior CIA analyst, to break down what market players are getting wrong, why reopening the Strait is far harder than it looks, and what a Houthi entry into the conflict could mean for the Red Sea. In this episode: 3:04 Technical Side of Supply Disruption 6:11 IEA and Comparison to Russia-Ukraine 9:32 Alternative Routes for Oil and Gas 12:08 Russia is the Big Winner 13:13 Ground Troops Needed to Open the Strait of Hormuz 17:14 The US Domestic Picture 21:43 Will Houthis Disrupt the Red Sea? 27:52 What Market Participants Are Not Understanding 30:57 Is $200 Barrel Crude Oil Possible? 33:19 Sir Richard and Rosanna Discussion Hosted by Sir Richard Dearlove (former MI6 Chief) and Rosanna Lockwood (International Journalist) Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices

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## Transcript

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